La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 22

Feb 18, 2023 at 8pm UK

Estadio El Sadar

Osasuna
0 - 2
Real Madrid

Torro (5'), Moncayola (45+1'), Gomez (45+3')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Valverde (78'), Asensio (90+2')
Junior (45+3'), Nacho (84')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Osasuna

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Valladolid 0-0 Osasuna
Sunday, February 12 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Real Madrid

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Real Madrid 4-0 Elche
Wednesday, February 15 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Osasuna 0-1 Real Madrid

Real Madrid must keep winning in order to stay in touch with Barcelona, so there is no downplaying the importance of this match. Osasuna are capable of making this an uncomfortable game, and the hosts will be the fresher of the two teams, but we are expecting Ancelotti's side to secure all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 58.55%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 19.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.94%) and 0-2 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.33%), while for a Osasuna win it was 1-0 (5.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result
Osasuna	Draw	Real Madrid
19.53% ( -0.07)	21.92% ( -0.05)	58.55% ( 0.13)

Both teams to score 54.45% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.29% (

0.13)

43.71% (

-0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.9% (

0.13)

66.1% (

-0.13)

Osasuna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.77%

36.23%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.99%

73.01%

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.39% (

0.08)

14.61% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.28% (

0.16)

42.72% (

-0.16)

Score Analysis

Osasuna 19.53%

Real Madrid 58.55%

Draw 21.91%

Osasuna	Draw	Real Madrid
1-0 @ 5.38% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 5.25% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 2.73% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 1.78% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.71% 3-0 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.77% Total : 19.53%	1-1 @ 10.33% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.29% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.05% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( 0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 21.91%	0-1 @ 10.18% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 9.94% ( 0) 0-2 @ 9.79% ( 0) 1-3 @ 6.37% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 6.28% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 3.24% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 3.06% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 3.02% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.56% ( 0.01) 1-5 @ 1.18% ( 0.01) 0-5 @ 1.16% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.77% Total : 58.55%