Club World Cup

Club World Cup | Semi-Finals

Feb 8, 2023 at 7pm UK

Al Ahly
1 - 4
Real Madrid

Maaloul (65' pen.)
Abdelmonem (85')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Junior (42'), Valverde (46'), Rodrygo (90+2'), Arribas (90+8')
Tchouameni (85')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Al Ahly

Last Game: Seattle 0-1 Al Ahly
Saturday, February 4 at 5pm in Club World Cup

Real Madrid

All competitions

Last Game: Mallorca 1-0 Real Madrid
Sunday, February 5 at 1pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 52.24%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Al Ahly had a probability of 23.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.59%) and 0-2 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.7%), while for an Al Ahly win it was 1-0 (7.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result
Al Ahly	Draw	Real Madrid
23.14% ( -0.05)	24.62% ( -0.15)	52.24% ( 0.2)

Both teams to score 51.02% (

0.38)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.2% (

0.53)

50.8% (

-0.54)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.31% (

0.47)

72.69% (

-0.47)

Al Ahly Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.31% (

0.25)

36.69% (

-0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.52% (

0.25)

73.47% (

-0.25)

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.58% (

0.28)

19.42% (

-0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.75% (

0.47)

51.24% (

-0.47)

Score Analysis

Al Ahly 23.14%

Real Madrid 52.24%

Draw 24.61%

Al Ahly	Draw	Real Madrid
1-0 @ 7.14% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 5.87% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 3.58% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 1.96% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.61% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 1.2% ( -0) Other @ 1.77% Total : 23.14%	1-1 @ 11.7% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 7.12% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 4.81% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.97% Total : 24.61%	0-1 @ 11.67% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 9.59% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 9.57% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 5.24% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 5.23% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.63% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 2.15% ( 0.05) 0-4 @ 2.14% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 1.08% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.94% Total : 52.24%