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La Liga
Athletic Bilbao logo
La Liga | Gameweek 18
Jan 22, 2023 at 8pm UK
San Mamés Barria
Real Madrid logo

Athletic Bilbao
0 - 2
Real Madrid


Berchiche (50'), Vivian (58'), Herrera (88')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Benzema (24'), Kroos (90')
Camavinga (62'), Junior (79')

The Match

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Sunday's La Liga clash between Athletic Bilbao and Real Madrid.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Athletic Bilbao and Real Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Real Madrid could line up in Sunday's La Liga clash with Athletic Bilbao.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up Real Madrid's injury and suspension news ahead of their La Liga clash with Athletic Bilbao.

Form, Standings, Stats

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 1-0 Espanyol
Wednesday, January 18 at 7pm in Copa del Rey

Real Madrid

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Villarreal 2-3 Real Madrid
Thursday, January 19 at 8pm in Copa del Rey

We said: Athletic Bilbao 1-2 Real Madrid

 This is another huge test for Real Madrid, with Athletic a very dangerous opponent. The Basque outfit have struggled to pick up wins in the league of late, though, and with Ancelotti's side chasing Barcelona, we are backing the reigning champions to navigate their way to a huge win here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 42.39%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 31.53% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.84%) and 0-2 (7.41%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 (8.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result
Athletic BilbaoDrawReal Madrid
31.53% (-0.012 -0.01) 26.07% (-0.012 -0.01) 42.39% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 52.92% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.63% (0.034999999999997 0.03)51.37% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.81% (0.027999999999999 0.03)73.19% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.66% (0.010000000000005 0.01)30.33% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.48% (0.011000000000003 0.01)66.52% (-0.012999999999991 -0.01)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.97% (0.024000000000001 0.02)24.03% (-0.026 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.71% (0.036000000000001 0.04)58.29% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Athletic Bilbao 31.53%
    Real Madrid 42.39%
    Draw 26.06%
Athletic BilbaoDrawReal Madrid
1-0 @ 8.69% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.4%
2-0 @ 5.19% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-1 @ 2.94%
3-2 @ 2.1% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 2.06% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 31.53%
1-1 @ 12.39% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.29% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.27% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.06%
0-1 @ 10.39% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.84% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 7.41%
1-3 @ 4.2% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 3.52% (0.0029999999999997 0)
2-3 @ 2.51% (0.0029999999999997 0)
1-4 @ 1.5% (0.0029999999999999 0)
0-4 @ 1.26% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 42.39%

How you voted: Athletic Bilbao vs Real Madrid

Athletic Bilbao
14.4%
Draw
13.8%
Real Madrid
71.8%
188
Head to Head
Feb 3, 2022 8.30pm
Quarter-Finals
Athletic Bilbao
1-0
Real Madrid
Berenguer (89')
Garcia (42'), de Marcos (67'), Berchiche (68')

Kroos (24'), Modric (59')
Jan 16, 2022 6.30pm
Final
Real Madrid
0-2
Athletic Bilbao

Marcelino (51'), Garcia (77'), Alvarez (90')
Modric (38'), Benzema (52' pen.)
Militao (87')
Dec 22, 2021 8.30pm
Athletic Bilbao
1-2
Real Madrid
Sancet (10')
Vencedor (43'), Garcia (61')
Benzema (4', 7')
Junior (42'), Camavinga (62')
Dec 1, 2021 8pm
Real Madrid
1-0
Athletic Bilbao
Benzema (40')
Modric (68'), Casemiro (77')

Zarraga (31'), Lekue (43'), Williams (77')
May 16, 2021 5.30pm
Athletic Bilbao
0-1
Real Madrid

Berenguer (14'), Garcia (79'), Martinez (80'), Marcelino (90')
Garcia (89')
Nacho (68')
Nacho (82'), Valverde (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona13110240122833
2Real Madrid1283125111427
3Atletico MadridAtletico137511971226
4Villarreal127322319424
5Osasuna136341720-321
6Athletic Bilbao135531913620
7Real BetisBetis135531412220
8Real Sociedad135351110118
9Mallorca135351010018
10GironaGirona135351617-118
11Celta Vigo135262022-217
12Rayo Vallecano124441313016
13Sevilla134361218-615
14Leganes133551316-314
15Getafe142751011-113
16AlavesAlaves134181422-813
17Las PalmasLas Palmas133371622-612
18Espanyol123181122-1110
19Real ValladolidValladolid142391027-179
20Valencia11146817-97
> La Liga Full Table


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