Athletic Bilbao0 - 2Real Madrid
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Wednesday, January 18 at 7pm in Copa del Rey
Thursday, January 19 at 8pm in Copa del Rey
We said: Athletic Bilbao 1-2 Real Madrid
This is another huge test for Real Madrid, with Athletic a very dangerous opponent. The Basque outfit have struggled to pick up wins in the league of late, though, and with Ancelotti's side chasing Barcelona, we are backing the reigning champions to navigate their way to a huge win here. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 42.39%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 31.53% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.84%) and 0-2 (7.41%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 (8.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Real Madrid |
31.53% ( -0.01) | 26.07% ( -0.01) | 42.39% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 52.92% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.63% ( 0.03) | 51.37% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.81% ( 0.03) | 73.19% ( -0.03) |
| Athletic Bilbao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.66% ( 0.01) | 30.33% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.48% ( 0.01) | 66.52% ( -0.01) |
| Real Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.97% ( 0.02) | 24.03% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.71% ( 0.04) | 58.29% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Real Madrid |
| 1-0 @ 8.69% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.4% 2-0 @ 5.19% ( -0)3-1 @ 2.94% 3-2 @ 2.1% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.06% ( -0)Other @ 3.16% Total : 31.53% | 1-1 @ 12.39% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.29% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.27% ( 0)3-3 @ 1% ( 0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.06% | 0-1 @ 10.39% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.84% ( 0)0-2 @ 7.41% 1-3 @ 4.2% ( 0)0-3 @ 3.52% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.51% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.5% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.26% ( 0)Other @ 2.77% Total : 42.39% |
How you voted: Athletic Bilbao vs Real Madrid
