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Athletic Bilbao logo
Copa del Rey | Round of 16
Jan 18, 2023 at 7pm UK
San Mamés Barria
Espanyol logo

Athletic Bilbao
1 - 0
Espanyol

de Marcos (27')
Alvarez (45')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Puado (36'), Sanchez (44'), Gomez (45+3'), Souza (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa del Rey clash between Athletic Bilbao and Espanyol, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Athletic Bilbao 2-1 Espanyol

Fired up by derby failure at the weekend, Athletic can take their frustration out on an Espanyol side distracted by a relegation battle and proceed to the quarter-finals. Home advantage could be the decisive factor, as the Basque club generally raise their game at San Mames. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 58.41%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Espanyol had a probability of 17.67%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.76%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.22%), while for a Espanyol win it was 0-1 (6.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Athletic Bilbao in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Athletic Bilbao.

Result
Athletic BilbaoDrawEspanyol
58.41% (-0.506 -0.51) 23.92% (0.286 0.29) 17.67% (0.222 0.22)
Both teams to score 45.15% (-0.38999999999999 -0.39)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.54% (-0.74 -0.74)54.46% (0.744 0.74)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.18% (-0.621 -0.62)75.82% (0.624 0.62)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.55% (-0.459 -0.46)18.44% (0.462 0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.38% (-0.784 -0.78)49.62% (0.787 0.79)
Espanyol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.36% (-0.163 -0.16)44.64% (0.166 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.36% (-0.132 -0.13)80.64% (0.13500000000001 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Athletic Bilbao 58.4%
    Espanyol 17.67%
    Draw 23.91%
Athletic BilbaoDrawEspanyol
1-0 @ 13.91% (0.19 0.19)
2-0 @ 11.76% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.49% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
3-0 @ 6.63% (-0.104 -0.1)
3-1 @ 5.35% (-0.109 -0.11)
4-0 @ 2.8% (-0.087 -0.09)
4-1 @ 2.26% (-0.081 -0.08)
3-2 @ 2.16% (-0.054 -0.05)
5-0 @ 0.95% (-0.044 -0.04)
4-2 @ 0.91% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 58.4%
1-1 @ 11.22% (0.11 0.11)
0-0 @ 8.23% (0.236 0.24)
2-2 @ 3.83% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 23.91%
0-1 @ 6.64% (0.161 0.16)
1-2 @ 4.53% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 2.68% (0.053 0.05)
1-3 @ 1.22%
2-3 @ 1.03% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 1.58%
Total : 17.67%

How you voted: Athletic Bilbao vs Espanyol

Athletic Bilbao
64.1%
Draw
25.0%
Espanyol
10.9%
64
Head to Head
Sep 4, 2022 3.15pm
Feb 7, 2022 8pm
Athletic Bilbao
2-1
Espanyol
Sancet (5'), Martinez (16')
Vesga (62'), Petxarroman (87'), Martinez (90+3')
Vilhena (3')
Morlanes (15'), Lopez (70'), Gil (75')
Oct 26, 2021 8pm
Espanyol
1-1
Athletic Bilbao
De Tomas (33' pen.)
Herrera (73')
de Tomas (90+3')
Williams (52')
Berenguer (75'), Alvarez (90+4')
Jan 25, 2020 12pm
Oct 30, 2019 7pm
Athletic Bilbao
3-0
Espanyol
Muniain (4', 17'), Victor (79' og.)

Espinosa (53')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool108111961325
2Manchester CityMan City1072121111023
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest10541147719
4Chelsea105322012818
5Arsenal105321711618
6Aston Villa105321715218
7Tottenham HotspurSpurs1051422111116
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton104421714316
9Fulham104331413115
10Bournemouth104331312115
11Newcastle UnitedNewcastle104331010015
12Brentford104151920-113
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd10334912-312
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham103251319-611
15Leicester CityLeicester102441418-410
16Everton102351017-79
17Crystal Palace10145813-57
18Ipswich TownIpswich100551021-115
19Southampton10118719-124
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves100371427-133


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