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La Liga
Real Sociedad logo
La Liga | Gameweek 17
Jan 14, 2023 at 8pm UK
Reale Arena
Athletic Bilbao logo

Real Sociedad
3 - 1
Athletic Bilbao

Sorloth (25'), Kubo (37'), Oyarzabal (62' pen.)
Kubo (38'), Sorloth (48'), Zubeldia (52'), Le Normand (83'), Zubimendi (90+3')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Sancet (40')
Garcia (43'), Vivian (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Real Sociedad and Athletic Bilbao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Sociedad

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Almeria 0-2 Real Sociedad
Sunday, January 8 at 1pm in La Liga

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 0-0 Osasuna
Monday, January 9 at 8pm in La Liga

We said: Real Sociedad 1-1 Athletic Bilbao

 The last two league meetings between these two sides at the home of Real Sociedad have finished level, and we are predicting another draw here. The hosts will enter the contest in excellent form, but Athletic are unbeaten in their last three Basque derbies in La Liga, and we can see a low-scoring draw here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 36.49%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 35.49% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.8%) and 2-0 (6.7%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 (11.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.

Result
Real SociedadDrawAthletic Bilbao
36.49% (0.058 0.06) 28.02% (0.030000000000001 0.03) 35.49% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Both teams to score 47.72% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.65% (-0.113 -0.11)58.35% (0.111 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.04% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)78.96% (0.087000000000003 0.09)
Real Sociedad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.4% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)30.61% (0.019000000000002 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.16% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)66.84% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.76% (-0.113 -0.11)31.24% (0.111 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.42% (-0.133 -0.13)67.58% (0.13000000000001 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Real Sociedad 36.48%
    Athletic Bilbao 35.48%
    Draw 28.02%
Real SociedadDrawAthletic Bilbao
1-0 @ 11.31% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 7.8% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 6.7% (0.021 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.08% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-0 @ 2.65% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.79% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
4-1 @ 0.91% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 36.48%
1-1 @ 13.17% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.56% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.54% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 28.02%
0-1 @ 11.12% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.66% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-2 @ 6.47% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.97% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.51% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.76% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 35.48%

How you voted: Real Sociedad vs Athletic Bilbao

Real Sociedad
52.1%
Draw
30.2%
Athletic Bilbao
17.7%
96
Head to Head
Feb 20, 2022 8pm
Athletic Bilbao
4-0
Real Sociedad
Vivian (68'), Sancet (72'), Williams (80'), Muniain (89')
Garcia (5'), Martinez (37'), Garcia (55'), Berenguer (90+4')

Silva (30')
Oct 31, 2021 8pm
Real Sociedad
1-1
Athletic Bilbao
Isak (58' pen.)
Isak (71'), Januzaj (74'), Merino (78'), Guevara (90+3')
Muniain (90+1')
Martinez (56'), de Marcos (59')
Martinez (84')
Apr 7, 2021 8pm
Real Sociedad
1-1
Athletic Bilbao
Lopez (89')
Munoz (12'), Zubeldia (38'), Zubimendi (84')
Villalibre (85')
Garcia (22')
Apr 3, 2021 8.30pm
Final
Athletic Bilbao
0-1
Real Sociedad

Garcia (35'), Martinez (62')
Oyarzabal (63' pen.)
Merino (71')
Dec 31, 2020 1pm
Athletic Bilbao
0-1
Real Sociedad

Vencedor (23'), Berchiche (55'), Nunez (62'), Martinez (81'), Capa (84')
Portu (5')
Guevara (8'), Barrenetxea (21'), Merino (39'), Zubeldia (67')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona13110240122833
2Real Madrid1283125111427
3Atletico MadridAtletico137511971226
4Villarreal127322319424
5Osasuna136341720-321
6Athletic Bilbao135531913620
7Real BetisBetis135531412220
8Real Sociedad135351110118
9Mallorca135351010018
10GironaGirona135351617-118
11Celta Vigo135262022-217
12Rayo Vallecano124441313016
13Sevilla134361218-615
14Leganes133551316-314
15AlavesAlaves134181422-813
16Las PalmasLas Palmas133371622-612
17Getafe13175811-310
18Espanyol123181122-1110
19Real ValladolidValladolid132381025-159
20Valencia11146817-97
> La Liga Full Table


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