Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 54.16%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Almeria had a probability of 21.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.4%) and 1-2 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.69%), while for an Almeria win it was 1-0 (7.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.
Result | ||
Almeria | Draw | Real Sociedad |
21.15% ( 0) | 24.69% ( -0) | 54.16% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 48.31% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.88% ( 0.01) | 53.12% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.3% ( 0) | 74.7% ( -0.01) |
Almeria Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.05% ( 0) | 39.95% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.4% ( 0.01) | 76.6% ( -0.01) |
Real Sociedad Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.44% | 19.56% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.53% ( 0) | 51.47% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Almeria | Draw | Real Sociedad |
1-0 @ 7.17% 2-1 @ 5.37% ( 0) 2-0 @ 3.29% 3-1 @ 1.64% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.34% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.01% Other @ 1.33% Total : 21.15% | 1-1 @ 11.69% 0-0 @ 7.81% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.38% Other @ 0.8% Total : 24.68% | 0-1 @ 12.74% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 10.4% 1-2 @ 9.55% 0-3 @ 5.66% 1-3 @ 5.19% 2-3 @ 2.38% 0-4 @ 2.31% 1-4 @ 2.12% 2-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.84% Total : 54.15% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 5 | 18 | 21 |
2 | Real Madrid | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 5 | 11 | 17 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 15 |
4 | Mallorca | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 14 |
5 | Villarreal | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 14 |
6 | Athletic Bilbao | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 13 |
7 | Osasuna | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 11 |
8 | AlavesAlaves | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 10 |
9 | Rayo Vallecano | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 9 |
10 | Celta Vigo | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 9 |
11 | Real BetisBetis | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 9 |
12 | GironaGirona | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 8 |
13 | Sevilla | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 8 |
14 | Espanyol | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 7 |
15 | Leganes | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 6 |
16 | Real Sociedad | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 5 |
17 | Valencia | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 5 |
18 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 17 | -13 | 5 |
19 | Getafe | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 4 |
20 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 3 |
> La Liga Full Table |