La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 15

Dec 30, 2022 at 6.15pm UK

Estadio Nuevo Mirandilla

Cadiz
1 - 1
Almeria

Perez (83')
Fali (24'), Mari (81')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Melero (40')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's La Liga clash between Cadiz and Almeria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cadiz

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Roma 0-3 Cadiz
Friday, December 16 at 7pm in Club Friendlies 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Almeria

All competitions

Last Game: Almeria 1-0 Getafe
Wednesday, November 9 at 6pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Almeria's home form this season has been impressive, but their away form has been disastrous, which should hand Cadiz confidence. The Yellow Submarine have only won once in front of their own fans this term, though, so we have had to settle on a low-scoring draw in this contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cadiz win with a probability of 45.57%. A win for Almeria had a probability of 28.14% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cadiz win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (8.38%). The likeliest Almeria win was 0-1 (8.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Cadiz	Draw	Almeria
45.57% ( 1.05)	26.29% ( -0.69)	28.14% ( -0.36)

Both teams to score 50.47% (

1.81)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.29% (

2.44)

53.71% (

-2.44)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.8% (

2.02)

75.19% (

-2.02)

Cadiz Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.49% (

1.58)

23.51% (

-1.58)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.45% (

2.24)

57.54% (

-2.24)

Almeria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.99% (

1.02)

34.01% (

-1.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.31% (

1.08)

70.69% (

-1.08)

Score Analysis

Cadiz 45.56%

Almeria 28.14%

Draw 26.28%

Cadiz	Draw	Almeria
1-0 @ 11.57% ( -0.58) 2-1 @ 9.04% ( 0.23) 2-0 @ 8.38% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.36% ( 0.3) 3-0 @ 4.04% ( 0.17) 3-2 @ 2.35% ( 0.22) 4-1 @ 1.58% ( 0.18) 4-0 @ 1.46% ( 0.13) Other @ 2.77% Total : 45.56%	1-1 @ 12.48% ( -0.26) 0-0 @ 8% ( -0.79) 2-2 @ 4.87% ( 0.25) Other @ 0.93% Total : 26.28%	0-1 @ 8.62% ( -0.6) 1-2 @ 6.73% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 4.65% ( -0.19) 1-3 @ 2.42% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 1.75% ( 0.14) 0-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.3% Total : 28.14%