La Liga | Gameweek 37
May 16, 2021 at 5.30pm UK
San Mames
Athletic Bilbao0 - 1Real Madrid
The Match
Match Report
Nacho Fernandez's goal means Real remain two points behind Atletico Madrid heading into the final round of fixtures.
Team News
Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Sunday's La Liga clash between Athletic Bilbao and Real Madrid.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Athletic Bilbao and Real Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Real Madrid could line up against Athletic Bilbao in La Liga.
Injuries & Suspensions
Sports Mole rounds up Real Madrid's injury and suspension news ahead of Sunday's La Liga clash with Athletic Bilbao.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 60.35%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 17.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.02%) and 1-2 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.53%), while for an Athletic Bilbao win it was 1-0 (5.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Real Madrid in this match.
| Result | ||
| Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Real Madrid |
| 17.5% | 22.15% | 60.35% |
| Both teams to score 50% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.22% | 47.78% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.03% | 69.97% |
| Athletic Bilbao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.1% | 40.9% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 22.54% | 77.46% |
| Real Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.6% | 15.4% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 55.79% | 44.21% |
| Score Analysis |
Athletic Bilbao 17.5%
Real Madrid 60.35%
Draw 22.14%
| Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Real Madrid |
| 1-0 @ 5.63% 2-1 @ 4.71% 2-0 @ 2.52% 3-1 @ 1.4% 3-2 @ 1.31% Other @ 1.93% Total : 17.5% | 1-1 @ 10.53% 0-0 @ 6.3% 2-2 @ 4.41% Other @ 0.91% Total : 22.14% | 0-1 @ 11.78% 0-2 @ 11.02% 1-2 @ 9.86% 0-3 @ 6.87% 1-3 @ 6.15% 0-4 @ 3.22% 1-4 @ 2.88% 2-3 @ 2.75% 2-4 @ 1.29% 0-5 @ 1.2% 1-5 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.27% Total : 60.35% |
How you voted: Athletic Bilbao vs Real Madrid
Athletic Bilbao
15.1%Draw
13.8%Real Madrid
71.1%159
Head to Head
Jul 5, 2020 1pm
Gameweek 34
Athletic Bilbao
0-1
Real Madrid
Dec 22, 2019 8pm
Gameweek 18
Real Madrid
0-0
Athletic Bilbao
Apr 21, 2019 3.15pm
Gameweek 33
Real Madrid
3-0
Athletic Bilbao
Form Guide
Build-up
How Real Madrid could line up against Athletic Bilbao
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Real Madrid could line up against Athletic Bilbao in La Liga.
4 years ago
How Athletic Bilbao could line up against Real Madrid
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Athletic Bilbao could line up against Real Madrid in La Liga.
4 years ago
Real Madrid team news: Injury, suspension list vs. Athletic Bilbao
Sports Mole rounds up Real Madrid's injury and suspension news ahead of Sunday's La Liga clash with Athletic Bilbao.
4 years ago
