Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Espanyol win with a probability of 38.55%. A win for Osasuna had a probability of 33.43% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Espanyol win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.05%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Osasuna win was 0-1 (10.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Espanyol | Draw | Osasuna |
38.55% ( 0.22) | 28.02% ( -0.01) | 33.43% ( -0.21) |
Both teams to score 47.5% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.49% ( 0.03) | 58.51% ( -0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.91% ( 0.02) | 79.09% ( -0.02) |
Espanyol Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.56% ( 0.15) | 29.44% ( -0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.56% ( 0.18) | 65.44% ( -0.18) |
Osasuna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.32% ( -0.12) | 32.68% ( 0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.77% ( -0.14) | 69.23% ( 0.14) |
Score Analysis |
Espanyol | Draw | Osasuna |
1-0 @ 11.76% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.05% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 7.19% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 3.28% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.93% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.83% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.5% Total : 38.54% | 1-1 @ 13.15% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.62% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.5% ( 0) Other @ 0.75% Total : 28.02% | 0-1 @ 10.76% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 7.36% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 6.02% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 2.74% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.63% Total : 33.43% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 11 | 29 | 33 |
2 | Real Madrid | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 24 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 18 | 7 | 11 | 23 |
4 | Villarreal | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 21 |
5 | Osasuna | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 21 |
6 | Athletic Bilbao | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 19 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 19 |
8 | Mallorca | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 18 |
9 | Rayo Vallecano | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 16 |
10 | Celta Vigo | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 16 |
11 | Real Sociedad | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 15 |
12 | GironaGirona | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 15 |
13 | Sevilla | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 15 |
14 | AlavesAlaves | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 13 |
15 | Leganes | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 11 |
16 | Getafe | 12 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 10 |
17 | Espanyol | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 10 |
18 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 9 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 24 | -15 | 8 |
20 | Valencia | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 7 |
> La Liga Full Table |