We said: Real Valladolid 1-1 Osasuna
Four of the last six La Liga meetings between these two teams have finished level, and we can see a low-scoring draw in this match. Real Valladolid's recent form has been impressive, but Osasuna usually do not give much away, so we are predicting a stalemate on Sunday evening.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 39.2%. A win for Osasuna had a probability of 33.36% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.26%) and 2-0 (7.17%). The likeliest Osasuna win was 0-1 (10.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.