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La Liga | Gameweek 21
Feb 15, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
Elche

Real Madrid
4 - 0
Elche

Asensio (8'), Benzema (31' pen., 45+1' pen.), Modric (80')
Mariano (83')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Roco (30'), Gumbau (53'), Gonzalez (72')

The Match

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Wednesday's La Liga clash between Real Madrid and Elche.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's La Liga clash between Real Madrid and Elche, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Real Madrid could line up for Wednesday's La Liga clash with Elche at the Bernabeu.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up Real Madrid's injury and suspension news ahead of their La Liga contest with Elche on Wednesday.

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Madrid

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Real Madrid 5-3 Al-Hilal
Saturday, February 11 at 7pm in Club World Cup

Elche

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Elche 3-1 Villarreal
Saturday, February 4 at 3.15pm in La Liga

We said: Real Madrid 4-0 Elche

 Real Madrid look set to bounce back from their shock defeat to Mallorca with a resounding win against Elche, given that Machin's side have taken just nine points from a possible 60 this season. While Los Blancos have scored 40 league goals this term, Elche have conceded 40, meaning that the hosts should cruise to a high-scoring victory on Wednesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 85.93%. A draw had a probability of 9.8% and a win for Elche had a probability of 4.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 3-0 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.01%) and 4-0 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.63%), while for a Elche win it was 0-1 (1.5%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 4-0 win for Real Madrid in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Real Madrid.

Result
Real MadridDrawElche
85.93% (0.0050000000000097 0.01) 9.76% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01) 4.31% (-0.0021000000000004 -0)
Both teams to score 42.75% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.1% (0.007000000000005 0.01)28.9% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
50.14% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)49.86% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.42% (0.0010000000000048 0)4.57% (-0.0020999999999995 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
81.31% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)18.69% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Elche Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
44.8% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)55.2%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)88% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Real Madrid 85.92%
    Elche 4.31%
    Draw 9.76%
Real MadridDrawElche
3-0 @ 12.35%
2-0 @ 12.01%
4-0 @ 9.53% (0.0010000000000012 0)
1-0 @ 7.79% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 7.34%
2-1 @ 7.14% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
5-0 @ 5.88% (0.0020000000000007 0)
4-1 @ 5.66%
5-1 @ 3.49% (0.00099999999999989 0)
6-0 @ 3.02% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.18%
6-1 @ 1.8% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.68%
7-0 @ 1.33% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-2 @ 1.04% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.69%
Total : 85.92%
1-1 @ 4.63% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-0 @ 2.53% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-2 @ 2.12% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 9.76%
0-1 @ 1.5%
1-2 @ 1.38% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.44%
Total : 4.31%

How you voted: Real Madrid vs Elche

Real Madrid
88.7%
Draw
4.3%
Elche
7.0%
186
Head to Head
Oct 19, 2022 8pm
Elche
0-3
Real Madrid

Gumbau (71')
Valverde (11'), Benzema (75'), Asensio (89')
Jan 23, 2022 3.15pm
Real Madrid
2-2
Elche
Modric (82' pen.), Militao (90+2')
Militao (54'), Junior (72'), Alaba (90+5')
Boye (42'), Milla (76')
Fidel (55')
Jan 20, 2022 6pm
Round of 16
Elche
1-2
Real Madrid
Gonzalo (103')
Milla (87')
Milla (120+2')
Isco (108'), Hazard (115')
Kroos (78'), Casemiro (87'), Alaba (94')
Marcelo (102')
Oct 30, 2021 1pm
Elche
1-2
Real Madrid
Milla (86')
Guti (8')
Guti (63')
Junior (22', 73')
Mar 13, 2021 3.15pm
Real Madrid
2-1
Elche
Benzema (73', 90+1')
Benzema (37')
Calvo (61')
Carrillo (69')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona77002351821
2Real Madrid75201651117
3Atletico MadridAtletico7430113815
4Mallorca842286214
5Villarreal74211414014
6Athletic Bilbao7412117413
7Osasuna7322811-311
8AlavesAlaves73131110110
9Rayo Vallecano72328719
10Celta Vigo7304141409
11Real BetisBetis72327709
12GironaGirona7223810-28
13Sevilla722379-28
14Espanyol7214711-47
15Leganes713348-46
16Real Sociedad712437-45
17Valencia7124510-55
18Real ValladolidValladolid8125417-135
19Getafe704336-34
20Las PalmasLas Palmas7034813-53
> La Liga Full Table


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