

Real Madrid5 - 1Celtic
The Match
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Sunday, October 30 at 3.15pm in La Liga
We said: Real Madrid 2-0 Celtic
After a slight blip from Ancelotti's men, we expect a professional performance here to get the job done in the Champions League. Los Blancos need a win to secure top spot, while Celtic are playing for nothing but pride, so we can see a solid, if unspectacular, win for the talent-stacked hosts. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 51.1%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Celtic had a probability of 24.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 2-0 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.75%), while for a Celtic win it was 0-1 (7.23%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.
Result | ||
Real Madrid | Draw | Celtic |
51.1% (![]() | 24.72% (![]() | 24.18% (![]() |
Both teams to score 51.86% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.74% (![]() | 50.26% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.79% (![]() | 72.21% (![]() |
Real Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.33% (![]() | 19.67% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.35% (![]() | 51.65% (![]() |
Celtic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.56% (![]() | 35.44% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.79% (![]() | 72.2% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Real Madrid | Draw | Celtic |
1-0 @ 11.33% (![]() 2-1 @ 9.56% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 9.22% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.18% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 5% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.69% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.11% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.03% 4-2 @ 1.09% ( ![]() Other @ 2.89% Total : 51.09% | 1-1 @ 11.75% 0-0 @ 6.97% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.96% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 0.93% ( ![]() Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.71% | 0-1 @ 7.23% (![]() 1-2 @ 6.1% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.75% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.11% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.71% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.3% ( ![]() Other @ 1.99% Total : 24.18% |
How you voted: Real Madrid vs Celtic


