Real Madrid

5 - 1

Celtic

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 51.1%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Celtic had a probability of 24.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 2-0 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.75%), while for a Celtic win it was 0-1 (7.23%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.