Champions League

Champions League | Group Stage

Sep 14, 2022 at 8pm UK

Estadio Santiago Bernabéu

Real Madrid
2 - 0
RB Leipzig

Valverde (80'), Asensio (90+1')
Carvajal (84')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Haidara (73'), Nkunku (82'), Schlager (90+1')

Real Madrid overcome RB Leipzig to extend 100% record

Federico Valverde and Marco Asensio score the goals as Real Madrid record a 2-0 victory over RB Leipzig in the Champions League.

Sep 14, 22:05

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Madrid

Last Six:

Last Game: Real Madrid 4-1 Mallorca
Sunday, September 11 at 1pm in La Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Real Madrid	5	10	15
2	Barcelona	5	14	13
3	Real Betis	5	5	12

RB Leipzig

Last Six:

Last Game: RB Leipzig 3-0 Dortmund
Saturday, September 10 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
9	Werder Bremen	6	1	8
10	RB Leipzig	6	0	8
11	Eintracht Frankfurt	6	-1	8

We said: Real Madrid 2-1 RB Leipzig

Leipzig's impressive victory over Dortmund at the weekend would certainly have boosted confidence in the camp, but it is so difficult to back against Real Madrid at the moment. This could end up being a tricky affair for the European champions, but we are still expecting them to navigate their way to another three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 60.46%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 16.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.53%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.7%), while for a RB Leipzig win it was 0-1 (5.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result
Real Madrid	Draw	RB Leipzig
60.46% ( -0.18)	22.56% ( 0.04)	16.98% ( 0.14)

Both teams to score 47.76% (

0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.74% (

0.05)

50.26% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.79% (

0.04)

72.21% (

-0.04)

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.79% (

-0.04)

16.21% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.3% (

-0.08)

45.7% (

0.08)

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57% (

0.2)

43% (

-0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.71% (

0.17)

79.29% (

-0.17)

Score Analysis

Real Madrid 60.45%

RB Leipzig 16.98%

Draw 22.55%

Real Madrid	Draw	RB Leipzig
1-0 @ 12.68% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 11.53% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 9.74% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 7% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 5.91% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.18% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 2.69% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.49% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.16% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.13% ( 0) 5-1 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 1.96% Total : 60.45%	1-1 @ 10.7% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.97% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.11% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.77% Total : 22.55%	0-1 @ 5.88% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 4.52% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 2.48% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.68% Total : 16.98%