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Celtic logo
Champions League | Group Stage
Oct 25, 2022 at 8pm UK
Celtic Park
Shakhtar Donetsk

Celtic
1 - 1
Shakhtar

FT(HT: 1-0)
Mudryk (58')
Matviyenko (31'), Bondar (50'), Stepanenko (56'), Zubkov (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Celtic and Shakhtar Donetsk, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hearts 3-4 Celtic
Saturday, October 22 at 12.30pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Shakhtar 3-0 Kovalivka
Wednesday, October 19 at 3pm in Ukrainian Premier League

We said: Celtic 2-1 Shakhtar Donetsk

In a game that could have significant permutations for Group F, we expect both sides to put on an entertaining spectacle and create plenty of opportunities. On this occasion, Celtic will narrowly claim their first win in the Champions League this season in front of their home support. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 61.07%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Shakhtar Donetsk had a probability of 17.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.36%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.06%), while for a Shakhtar Donetsk win it was 0-1 (5.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.

Result
CelticDrawShakhtar Donetsk
61.07% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01) 21.27% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 17.66% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
Both teams to score 53.15% (0.046000000000006 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.25% (0.047000000000004 0.05)43.75% (-0.044999999999995 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.86% (0.042999999999999 0.04)66.14% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Celtic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.15% (0.013999999999996 0.01)13.84% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.78% (0.026000000000003 0.03)41.21% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Shakhtar Donetsk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.69% (0.045000000000002 0.05)38.31% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.93% (0.041999999999998 0.04)75.07% (-0.039999999999992 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Celtic 61.05%
    Shakhtar Donetsk 17.66%
    Draw 21.27%
CelticDrawShakhtar Donetsk
1-0 @ 10.48% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 10.36% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.95% (0.0010000000000012 0)
3-0 @ 6.84% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-1 @ 6.56% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 3.38% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 3.24% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 3.15% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.56% (0.0029999999999999 0)
5-0 @ 1.34%
5-1 @ 1.28% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 61.05%
1-1 @ 10.06%
0-0 @ 5.3% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.77% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.01% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 21.27%
0-1 @ 5.09% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-2 @ 4.83% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 2.44% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 1.54% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.53% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 17.66%

How you voted: Celtic vs Shakhtar

Celtic
Draw
Shakhtar Donetsk
Celtic
55.0%
Draw
14.4%
Shakhtar Donetsk
30.7%
313
Head to Head
Sep 14, 2022 5.45pm
Group F
Shakhtar
1-1
Celtic
Mudryk (29')
Bondarenko (10' og.)
Jenz (52')
rhs 2.0
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