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Real Madrid logo
Copa del Rey | Semi-Finals | 1st Leg
Mar 2, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
Barcelona logo

Real Madrid
0 - 1
Barcelona


Junior (24'), Nacho (55'), Valverde (73')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Militao (26' og.)
Raphinha (45'), Gavi (51'), Kessie (66'), Xavi (90+1')

The Match

Match Report

Barcelona record a 1-0 victory over Real Madrid in the first leg of their Copa del Rey semi-final at Bernabeu on Thursday night.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Thursday's Copa del Rey clash between Real Madrid and Barcelona.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa del Rey clash between Real Madrid and Barcelona, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Real Madrid could line up for Thursday's Copa del Rey semi-final first leg with Barcelona.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up Barcelona's latest injury and suspension news ahead of Thursday's Copa del Rey semi-final first leg with Real Madrid.

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Madrid

All competitions
Copa del Rey
Last Game: Real Madrid 1-1 Atletico
Saturday, February 25 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Barcelona

All competitions
Copa del Rey
Last Game: Almeria 1-0 Barcelona
Sunday, February 26 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 42.17%. A win for Barcelona had a probability of 33.3% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.38%) and 2-0 (6.55%). The likeliest Barcelona win was 1-2 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result
Real MadridDrawBarcelona
42.17% (3.767 3.77) 24.52% (-0.212 -0.21) 33.3% (-3.557 -3.56)
Both teams to score 58.8% (0.068000000000005 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.98% (0.376 0.38)44.02% (-0.38 -0.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.59% (0.365 0.37)66.4% (-0.36799999999999 -0.37)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.03% (1.991 1.99)20.96% (-1.993 -1.99)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.28% (3.018 3.02)53.72% (-3.022 -3.02)
Barcelona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.4% (-1.835 -1.83)25.6% (1.832 1.83)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.52% (-2.568 -2.57)60.48% (2.565 2.57)
Score Analysis
    Real Madrid 42.17%
    Barcelona 33.3%
    Draw 24.51%
Real MadridDrawBarcelona
2-1 @ 8.93% (0.437 0.44)
1-0 @ 8.38% (0.356 0.36)
2-0 @ 6.55% (0.643 0.64)
3-1 @ 4.65% (0.484 0.48)
3-0 @ 3.41% (0.514 0.51)
3-2 @ 3.17% (0.175 0.18)
4-1 @ 1.82% (0.283 0.28)
4-0 @ 1.33% (0.266 0.27)
4-2 @ 1.24% (0.136 0.14)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 42.17%
1-1 @ 11.42% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-2 @ 6.08% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.37% (-0.090000000000001 -0.09)
3-3 @ 1.44% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.51%
1-2 @ 7.78% (-0.505 -0.51)
0-1 @ 7.31% (-0.526 -0.53)
0-2 @ 4.98% (-0.651 -0.65)
1-3 @ 3.54% (-0.434 -0.43)
2-3 @ 2.76% (-0.159 -0.16)
0-3 @ 2.26% (-0.435 -0.44)
1-4 @ 1.2% (-0.222 -0.22)
2-4 @ 0.94% (-0.108 -0.11)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 33.3%

How you voted: Real Madrid vs Barcelona

Real Madrid
74.2%
Draw
10.5%
Barcelona
15.3%
658
Head to Head
Jan 15, 2023 7pm
Final
Real Madrid
1-3
Barcelona
Benzema (90+3')
Mendy (32'), Valverde (82')
Gavi (33'), Lewandowski (45'), Pedri (69')
Christensen (49'), Araujo (68')
Oct 16, 2022 3.15pm
Real Madrid
3-1
Barcelona
Benzema (12'), Valverde (35'), Rodrygo (90+1' pen.)
Junior (30')
Torres (83')
Jul 24, 2022 4am
Barcelona
0-1
Real Madrid

Vazquez (65')
Raphinha (27')
Christensen (34'), Alba (43'), Busquets (54')
Mar 20, 2022 8pm
Real Madrid
0-4
Barcelona

Kroos (22'), Modric (63'), Camavinga (82'), Vazquez (88')
Aubameyang (29', 51'), Araujo (38'), Torres (47')
de Jong (26'), Busquets (31'), Alba (74'), Gonzalez (88')
Jan 12, 2022 7pm
Semi-Finals
Barcelona
2-3
Real Madrid
De Jong (41'), Fati (83')
Torres (23'), Alves (51')
Junior (25'), Benzema (72'), Valverde (98')
Casemiro (75'), Valverde (99')
Build-up
Karim Benzema in action for Real Madrid on October 5, 2022
Karim Benzema's record vs. Barcelona
Sports Mole looks at Karim Benzema's record against Barcelona ahead of Real Madrid's clash with the Catalan side in the Copa del Rey semi-finals.
Mar 2, 11:56
 Robert Lewandowski celebrates scoring for Barcelona on October 12, 2022
Barcelona missing three players for trip to Real Madrid
Barcelona will be missing Robert Lewandowski, Pedri and Ousmane Dembele for Thursday's Copa del Rey semi-final first leg with Real Madrid.
Mar 1, 14:39
 Rodrygo scores from the spot for Real Madrid on November 2, 2022
Real Madrid confirm squad for El Clasico, with Rodrygo proving his fitness
Rodrygo returns to the Real Madrid squad for Thursday's Copa del Rey clash with Barcelona, but David Alaba and Ferland Mendy both miss out.
Mar 1, 14:19
 Rodrygo scores from the spot for Real Madrid on November 2, 2022
Real Madrid to be handed huge fitness boost for El Clasico?
Real Madrid could have Rodrygo back in their squad for Thursday's Copa del Rey semi-final first leg with Barcelona.
Feb 28, 20:18
 Real Madrid's Karim Benzema celebrates scoring against Liverpool on February 21, 2023
How Real Madrid could line up against Barcelona
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Real Madrid could line up for Thursday's Copa del Rey semi-final first leg with Barcelona.
Feb 28, 17:37
 Robert Lewandowski celebrates scoring for Barcelona on October 12, 2022
How Barcelona could line up against Real Madrid
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Barcelona could line up for Thursday's Copa del Rey semi-final first leg with Real Madrid.
Feb 28, 17:37
 Robert Lewandowski celebrates scoring for Barcelona on October 12, 2022
Barcelona striker Robert Lewandowski to miss El Clasico with hamstring injury
Barcelona striker Robert Lewandowski will miss Thursday's El Clasico with Real Madrid in the Copa del Rey due to a hamstring injury.
Feb 27, 18:56
 Pedri celebrates scoring for Barcelona on October 9, 2022
Barcelona team news: Injury, suspension list vs. Real Madrid
Sports Mole rounds up Barcelona's latest injury and suspension news ahead of Thursday's Copa del Rey semi-final first leg with Real Madrid.
Feb 27, 08:30
 David Alaba comes off injured for Real Madrid on February 21, 2023
Real Madrid team news: Injury, suspension list vs. Barcelona
Sports Mole rounds up all Real Madrid's latest injury and suspension news ahead of Thursday's Copa del Rey semi-final first leg with Barcelona.
Feb 27, 08:17
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