Copa del Rey | Semi-Finals | 1st Leg
Mar 2, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
Real Madrid0 - 1Barcelona
The Match
Match Report
Barcelona record a 1-0 victory over Real Madrid in the first leg of their Copa del Rey semi-final at Bernabeu on Thursday night.
Team News
Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Thursday's Copa del Rey clash between Real Madrid and Barcelona.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa del Rey clash between Real Madrid and Barcelona, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Real Madrid could line up for Thursday's Copa del Rey semi-final first leg with Barcelona.
Injuries & Suspensions
Sports Mole rounds up Barcelona's latest injury and suspension news ahead of Thursday's Copa del Rey semi-final first leg with Real Madrid.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Real Madrid 1-1 Atletico
Saturday, February 25 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Saturday, February 25 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Almeria 1-0 Barcelona
Sunday, February 26 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Sunday, February 26 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 42.17%. A win for Barcelona had a probability of 33.3% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.38%) and 2-0 (6.55%). The likeliest Barcelona win was 1-2 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Real Madrid | Draw | Barcelona |
42.17% ( 3.77) | 24.52% ( -0.21) | 33.3% ( -3.56) |
| Both teams to score 58.8% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.98% ( 0.38) | 44.02% ( -0.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.59% ( 0.37) | 66.4% ( -0.37) |
| Real Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.03% ( 1.99) | 20.96% ( -1.99) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 46.28% ( 3.02) | 53.72% ( -3.02) |
| Barcelona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.4% ( -1.83) | 25.6% ( 1.83) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.52% ( -2.57) | 60.48% ( 2.57) |
| Score Analysis |
Real Madrid 42.17%
Barcelona 33.3%
Draw 24.51%
| Real Madrid | Draw | Barcelona |
| 2-1 @ 8.93% ( 0.44) 1-0 @ 8.38% ( 0.36)2-0 @ 6.55% ( 0.64)3-1 @ 4.65% ( 0.48)3-0 @ 3.41% ( 0.51)3-2 @ 3.17% ( 0.18)4-1 @ 1.82% ( 0.28)4-0 @ 1.33% ( 0.27)4-2 @ 1.24% ( 0.14)Other @ 2.71% Total : 42.17% | 1-1 @ 11.42% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 6.08% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 5.37% ( -0.09)3-3 @ 1.44% ( 0)Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.51% | 1-2 @ 7.78% ( -0.51) 0-1 @ 7.31% ( -0.53)0-2 @ 4.98% ( -0.65)1-3 @ 3.54% ( -0.43)2-3 @ 2.76% ( -0.16)0-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.44)1-4 @ 1.2% ( -0.22)2-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.11)Other @ 2.52% Total : 33.3% |
How you voted: Real Madrid vs Barcelona
Real Madrid
74.2%Draw
10.5%Barcelona
15.3%658
Head to Head
Jan 15, 2023 7pm
Jul 24, 2022 4am
Form Guide
Build-up
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Real Madrid team news: Injury, suspension list vs. Barcelona
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