La Liga | Gameweek 25
Mar 11, 2023 at 1pm UK
Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
Real Madrid3 - 1Espanyol
The Match
Team News
Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Saturday's La Liga clash between Real Madrid and Espanyol.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Real Madrid and Espanyol, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole looks at how Real Madrid could line up in Saturday's La Liga contest with Espanyol.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Betis 0-0 Real Madrid
Sunday, March 5 at 8pm in La Liga
Sunday, March 5 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Valladolid 2-1 Espanyol
Sunday, March 5 at 1pm in La Liga
Sunday, March 5 at 1pm in La Liga
We said: Real Madrid 2-0 Espanyol
Real Madrid will have one eye on their Champions League clash with Liverpool, but they simply cannot afford any more slip-ups in the league to stand a chance of catching Barcelona, and we are expecting Ancelotti's side to secure all three points this weekend courtesy of a 2-0 scoreline. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 75.79%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for Espanyol had a probability of 8.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.11%) and 3-0 (10.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.46%), while for a Espanyol win it was 0-1 (3.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Real Madrid | Draw | Espanyol |
75.79% ( -0.18) | 15.69% ( 0.05) | 8.52% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 44.47% ( 0.42) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
