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Champions League header

Champions League
Real Madrid logo
Champions League | Semi-Finals | 1st Leg
May 9, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
Manchester City logo

Real Madrid
1 - 1
Man City

Junior (36')
Kroos (45+3'), Ancelotti (68'), Camavinga (79')
FT(HT: 1-0)
De Bruyne (67')
Gundogan (71'), Silva (86')

The Match

Match Report

Kevin De Bruyne's stunner salvages a 1-1 draw for Manchester City against Real Madrid in the first leg of their Champions League semi-final at the Santiago Bernabeu.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Tuesday's Champions League clash between Real Madrid and Manchester City.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Real Madrid and Manchester City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Manchester City could line up for Tuesday's Champions League semi-final first leg against Real Madrid.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up all of Manchester City's latest injury and suspension news ahead of Tuesday's Champions League semi-final first leg with Real Madrid.

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Madrid

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: Real Madrid 2-1 Osasuna
Saturday, May 6 at 9pm in Copa del Rey

Manchester City

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: Man City 2-1 Leeds
Saturday, May 6 at 3pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 46.02%. A win for Real Madrid had a probability of 29.22% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.29%) and 0-2 (7.64%). The likeliest Real Madrid win was 1-0 (7.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Real MadridDrawManchester City
29.22% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01) 24.76% (0.0020000000000024 0) 46.02% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Both teams to score 56.01% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.19% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)46.8% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.93% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)69.06% (0.0069999999999908 0.01)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.37% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)29.62% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.33% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)65.66% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Manchester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.59% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)20.41%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.16% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)52.84%
Score Analysis
    Real Madrid 29.22%
    Manchester City 46.02%
    Draw 24.75%
Real MadridDrawManchester City
1-0 @ 7.35%
2-1 @ 7.11% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 4.47% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 2.88% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.29% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 1.81% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 29.22%
1-1 @ 11.68%
0-0 @ 6.05% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-2 @ 5.65% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-3 @ 1.21%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.75%
0-1 @ 9.61% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-2 @ 9.29% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 7.64% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 4.92%
0-3 @ 4.05% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 2.99% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-4 @ 1.96%
0-4 @ 1.61%
2-4 @ 1.19% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 46.02%

How you voted: Real Madrid vs Man City

Real Madrid
41.5%
Draw
14.9%
Manchester City
43.6%
921
Head to Head
May 4, 2022 8pm
Semi-Finals 2nd Leg
Real Madrid
3-1
Man City
Rodrygo (90', 90+1'), Benzema (95' pen.)
Modric (9'), Carvajal (65'), Militao (84'), Valverde (90+6')
Mahrez (73')
Laporte (9'), Sterling (101'), Zinchenko (113')
Apr 26, 2022 8pm
Semi-Finals 1st Leg
Man City
4-3
Real Madrid
De Bruyne (2'), Jesus (11'), Foden (53'), Silva (74')
Guardiola (54'), Fernandinho (81')
Benzema (33', 82'), Junior (55')
Nacho (90+3')
Aug 7, 2020 8pm
Round of 16
Man City
2-1
Real Madrid
Sterling (9'), Jesus (68')
Benzema (28')
Modric (81')
Feb 26, 2020 8pm
Round of 16
Real Madrid
1-2
Man City
> Match Report
Jul 27, 2017 4am
Pre-season Friendlies
Man City
4-1
Real Madrid
Otamendi (52'), Sterling (59'), Stones (67'), Diaz (81')
Toure (29'), Nasri (88')
Oscar (90')
Nacho (33'), Carvajal (41')
> Match Report
Build-up
Dani Ceballos in action for Real Madrid on August 20, 2022
Real Madrid dealt fresh injury blow ahead of Manchester City tie?
Real Madrid reportedly suffer an injury blow ahead of the first leg of their Champions League semi-final against Manchester City.
May 8, 23:22
 Manchester City manager Pep Guardiola pictured on April 11, 2023
Pep Guardiola: 'Manchester City are not here for revenge versus Real Madrid'
Pep Guardiola insists that his Manchester City side are "not here for revenge" against Real Madrid ahead of Tuesday's Champions League semi-final first leg at the Santiago Bernabeu.
May 8, 21:31
 Manchester City's Nathan Ake goes down injured on May 6, 2023
Manchester City's Nathan Ake ruled out of Real Madrid Champions League tie
Manchester City defender Nathan Ake is ruled out of Tuesday's Champions League semi-final first leg against Real Madrid at the Santiago Bernabeu.
May 8, 21:11
 Real Madrid's Vinicius Junior in action with Manchester City's Kyle Walker on May 4, 2022
Real Madrid vs. Manchester City: Three key battles to look out for in Champions League semi-final
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at three key battles to look out for in Tuesday's Champions League semi-final first leg between Real Madrid and Manchester City.
May 8, 18:57
 Manchester City's Erling Braut Haaland celebrates scoring their second goal on May 3, 2023
Carlo Ancelotti brands Erling Braut Haaland "a very dangerous player"
Real Madrid head coach Carlo Ancelotti hails Manchester City's Erling Braut Haaland ahead of Tuesday's Champions League semi-final first leg at Bernabeu.
May 8, 17:48
 Manchester City's Riyad Mahrez scores their second goal against Paris Saint-Germain in the Champions League on May 4, 2021
A closer look at Manchester City's Champions League semi-final record
Sports Mole takes a closer look at Manchester City's record in the Champions League semi-finals ahead of Tuesday's first leg against Real Madrid.
May 8, 12:25
 Erling Braut Haaland celebrates scoring for Manchester City on March 14, 2023
Champions League: Manchester City's road to the semi-finals
Sports Mole takes a closer look at Manchester City's route to the 2022-23 Champions League semi-finals ahead of Tuesday's first leg with Real Madrid.
May 8, 12:00
 Real Madrid's Rodrygo scores their second goal on May 4, 2022
A closer look at Real Madrid's Champions League semi-final record
Sports Mole takes a closer look at Real Madrid's record in the Champions League semi-finals ahead of Tuesday's first leg against Manchester City.
May 8, 09:22
 Real Madrid's Karim Benzema celebrates scoring against Chelsea on April 12, 2023
Champions League: Real Madrid's road to the semi-finals
Sports Mole takes a closer look at Real Madrid's route to the 2022-23 Champions League semi-finals ahead of Tuesday's first leg with Manchester City.
May 8, 08:54
 Real Madrid's Karim Benzema celebrates scoring their third goal on April 26, 2022
Champions League: Real Madrid vs. Manchester City top five meetings
Sports Mole takes a look at the top five meetings between Real Madrid and Manchester City ahead of Tuesday's Champions League semi-final first leg.
May 7, 12:33
 Manchester City's Erling Braut Haaland celebrates scoring their second goal on May 3, 2023
Combined XI: Real Madrid vs. Manchester City
Ahead of Tuesday's Champions League semi-final first leg between Real Madrid and Manchester City, Sports Mole picks a combined XI from both squads.
May 7, 11:33
 Manchester City's Nathan Ake goes down injured on May 6, 2023
How Manchester City could line up against Real Madrid
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Manchester City could line up for Tuesday's Champions League semi-final first leg against Real Madrid.
May 7, 09:19
 Eder Militao in action for Real Madrid on October 2, 2022
How Real Madrid could line up against Manchester City
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Real Madrid could line up for Tuesday's Champions League semi-final first leg against Manchester City.
May 7, 09:09
 Real Madrid coach Carlo Ancelotti looks dejected on April 8, 2023
Carlo Ancelotti: 'Real Madrid fans can play key role against Manchester City'
Real Madrid boss Carlo Ancelotti hopes that the club's fans can inspire the team to pick up a positive result in the first leg of their Champions League semi-final with Manchester City.
May 7, 08:49
 Manchester City's Raheem Sterling in action with Real Madrid's Casemiro and Toni Kroos on August 7, 2020
Champions League: Real Madrid vs. Manchester City head-to-head record
Ahead of Tuesday's Champions League semi-final between Real Madrid and Manchester City, Sports Mole looks at the head-to-head record between the two clubs.
May 7, 08:25
 Manchester City's Nathan Ake goes down injured on May 6, 2023
Manchester City team news: Injury, suspension list vs. Real Madrid
Sports Mole rounds up all of Manchester City's latest injury and suspension news ahead of Tuesday's Champions League semi-final first leg with Real Madrid.
May 7, 07:41
 Eder Militao celebrates scoring for Real Madrid on October 8, 2022
Real Madrid team news: Injury, suspension list vs. Manchester City
Sports Mole rounds up Real Madrid's injury and suspension news ahead of Tuesday's Champions League semi-final first leg with Manchester City.
May 7, 07:30
 Manchester City's Nathan Ake goes down injured on May 6, 2023
Manchester City handed Nathan Ake injury concern ahead of Real Madrid clash
Manchester City suffer a potential injury blow regarding defender Nathan Ake ahead of next Tuesday's Champions League semi-final first leg away against Real Madrid.
May 6, 18:48
rhs 2.0
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> Premier League Full Table


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