Champions League | Semi-Finals | 1st Leg
May 9, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
Real Madrid1 - 1Man City
The Match
Match Report
Kevin De Bruyne's stunner salvages a 1-1 draw for Manchester City against Real Madrid in the first leg of their Champions League semi-final at the Santiago Bernabeu.
Team News
Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Tuesday's Champions League clash between Real Madrid and Manchester City.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Real Madrid and Manchester City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Manchester City could line up for Tuesday's Champions League semi-final first leg against Real Madrid.
Injuries & Suspensions
Sports Mole rounds up all of Manchester City's latest injury and suspension news ahead of Tuesday's Champions League semi-final first leg with Real Madrid.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Real Madrid 2-1 Osasuna
Saturday, May 6 at 9pm in Copa del Rey
Saturday, May 6 at 9pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Man City 2-1 Leeds
Saturday, May 6 at 3pm in Premier League
Saturday, May 6 at 3pm in Premier League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 46.02%. A win for Real Madrid had a probability of 29.22% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.29%) and 0-2 (7.64%). The likeliest Real Madrid win was 1-0 (7.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Real Madrid | Draw | Manchester City |
29.22% ( -0.01) | 24.76% ( 0) | 46.02% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 56.01% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |