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Leipzig logo
Champions League | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Feb 22, 2023 at 8pm UK
Red Bull Arena
Manchester City logo

RB Leipzig
1 - 1
Man City

The Match

Match Report

RB Leipzig come from behind to earn a deserved 1-1 draw against Manchester City in the first leg of their Champions League last-16 tie at the Red Bull Arena.

Team News

Manchester City manager Pep Guardiola makes three changes to his starting lineup for the first leg of their Champions League last-16 tie against RB Leipzig this evening.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between RB Leipzig and Manchester City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Manchester City could line up Wednesday's Champions League last-16 first-leg clash with RB Leipzig.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up Manchester City's injury and suspension news ahead of their Champions League clash with RB Leipzig.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 59.64%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 18.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.21%) and 1-2 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.31%), while for a RB Leipzig win it was 1-0 (5.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.

Result
RB LeipzigDrawManchester City
18.56% (-0.081 -0.08) 21.79% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01) 59.64% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
Both teams to score 53.14% (-0.113 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.39% (-0.077999999999996 -0.08)44.61% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.02% (-0.074999999999996 -0.07)66.98% (0.076999999999998 0.08)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.2% (-0.137 -0.14)37.8% (0.139 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.43% (-0.131 -0.13)74.57% (0.13500000000001 0.14)
Manchester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.44% (0.007000000000005 0.01)14.57% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.37% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)42.63% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Score Analysis
    RB Leipzig 18.56%
    Manchester City 59.63%
    Draw 21.79%
RB LeipzigDrawManchester City
1-0 @ 5.36% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-1 @ 5.02% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-0 @ 2.61% (-0.01 -0.01)
3-1 @ 1.63% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.57% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 18.56%
1-1 @ 10.31% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.51% (0.019 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.84% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.01% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 21.79%
0-1 @ 10.6% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-2 @ 10.21% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
1-2 @ 9.94% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
0-3 @ 6.56% (0.025 0.03)
1-3 @ 6.38%
0-4 @ 3.16% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.11% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-4 @ 3.07%
2-4 @ 1.5% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
0-5 @ 1.22% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-5 @ 1.19% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 59.63%

How you voted: RB Leipzig vs Man City

RB Leipzig
18.8%
Draw
11.3%
Manchester City
69.9%
644
Head to Head
Dec 7, 2021 5.45pm
Group A
RB Leipzig
2-1
Man City
Szoboszlai (24'), Silva (71')
Kampl (14'), Adams (90+1')
Mahrez (77')
De Bruyne (30'), Stones (81')
Walker (83')
Sep 15, 2021 8pm
Group A
Man City
6-3
RB Leipzig
Ake (16'), Mukiele (28' og.), Mahrez (45+2' pen.), Grealish (56'), Cancelo (75'), Jesus (85')
Zinchenko (12')
Nkunku (42', 51', 73')
Klostermann (45+1'), Adams (49'), Angelino (58')
Angelino (79')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144


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