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Premier League | Gameweek 23
Feb 12, 2023 at 4.30pm UK
Etihad Stadium
Aston Villa logo

Man City
3 - 1
Aston Villa

Rodri (4'), Gundogan (39'), Mahrez (45+1' pen.)
Dias (41')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Watkins (61')
Digne (37'), Konsa (63')

The Match

Match Report

Rodri, Ilkay Gundogan and Riyad Mahrez are all on target in the first half as Manchester City defeat Aston Villa 3-1 at the Etihad Stadium.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Sunday's Premier League clash between Manchester City and Aston Villa.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Manchester City and Aston Villa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Manchester City could line up for Sunday's Premier League clash with Aston Villa.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up Manchester City's injury and suspension news ahead of their Premier League clash with Aston Villa.

Form, Standings, Stats

Manchester City

All competitions
Premier League
Last Game: Spurs 1-0 Man City
Sunday, February 5 at 4.30pm in Premier League

Aston Villa

All competitions
Premier League
Last Game: Aston Villa 2-4 Leicester
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 81.95%. A draw had a probability of 11.7% and a win for Aston Villa had a probability of 6.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.67%) and 2-1 (8.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.41%), while for an Aston Villa win it was 1-2 (2%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Manchester City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Manchester City.

Result
Manchester CityDrawAston Villa
81.95% (-0.86999999999999 -0.87) 11.67% (0.535 0.54) 6.38% (0.3329 0.33)
Both teams to score 49.64% (-0.40799999999999 -0.41)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.53% (-1.448 -1.45)28.47% (1.446 1.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
50.68% (-1.808 -1.81)49.32% (1.806 1.81)
Manchester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.83% (-0.413 -0.41)5.17% (0.412 0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
79.53% (-1.241 -1.24)20.47% (1.24 1.24)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.35% (-0.203 -0.2)47.65% (0.20200000000001 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.03% (-0.15 -0.15)82.97% (0.148 0.15)
Score Analysis
    Manchester City 81.94%
    Aston Villa 6.38%
    Draw 11.67%
Manchester CityDrawAston Villa
2-0 @ 10.8% (0.34 0.34)
3-0 @ 10.67% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-1 @ 8.01% (0.208 0.21)
3-1 @ 7.91% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-0 @ 7.91% (-0.186 -0.19)
1-0 @ 7.29% (0.423 0.42)
4-1 @ 5.86% (-0.173 -0.17)
5-0 @ 4.69% (-0.245 -0.25)
5-1 @ 3.47% (-0.202 -0.2)
3-2 @ 2.93% (-0.021 -0.02)
6-0 @ 2.31% (-0.19 -0.19)
4-2 @ 2.17% (-0.077 -0.08)
6-1 @ 1.72% (-0.152 -0.15)
5-2 @ 1.29% (-0.083 -0.08)
7-0 @ 0.98% (-0.11 -0.11)
Other @ 3.93%
Total : 81.94%
1-1 @ 5.41% (0.284 0.28)
2-2 @ 2.97% (0.061 0.06)
0-0 @ 2.46% (0.206 0.21)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 11.67%
1-2 @ 2% (0.095 0.1)
0-1 @ 1.82% (0.143 0.14)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 6.38%

How you voted: Man City vs Aston Villa

Manchester City
82.7%
Draw
10.9%
Aston Villa
6.4%
202
Head to Head
Sep 3, 2022 5.30pm
Aston Villa
1-1
Man City
Bailey (74')
Cash (26'), Digne (71')
Braut Haaland (50')
May 22, 2022 4pm
Man City
3-2
Aston Villa
Gundogan (76', 81'), Rodri (78')
Cash (37'), Coutinho (69')
Mings (49'), Nakamba (87')
Dec 1, 2021 8.15pm
Aston Villa
1-2
Man City
Watkins (47')
Dias (27'), Silva (43')
Apr 21, 2021 8.15pm
Aston Villa
1-2
Man City
McGinn (1')
Cash (54')
Cash (57')
Foden (22'), Rodri (40')
Gundogan (44')
Stones (44')
Jan 20, 2021 6pm
Man City
2-0
Aston Villa
Silva (79'), Gundogan (90' pen.)

McGinn (67'), Smith (81'), Taylor (86')
Smith (81')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144
> Premier League Full Table


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