Premier League | Gameweek 22
Feb 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
Villa Park
Aston Villa2 - 4Leicester
The Match
Match Report
Leicester City twice come from behind to record a 4-2 win over Aston Villa in Saturday afternoon's Premier League clash at Villa Park.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Aston Villa and Leicester City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Southampton 0-1 Aston Villa
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in Premier League
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Walsall 0-1 Leicester
Saturday, January 28 at 12.30pm in FA Cup
Saturday, January 28 at 12.30pm in FA Cup
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 44.41%. A win for Leicester City had a probability of 30.53% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Leicester City win was 0-1 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Aston Villa | Draw | Leicester City |
44.41% ( 1.99) | 25.06% ( -0.22) | 30.53% ( -1.77) |
| Both teams to score 55.76% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.53% ( 0.28) | 47.47% ( -0.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.31% ( 0.26) | 69.68% ( -0.26) |
| Aston Villa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.6% ( 1.05) | 21.39% ( -1.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 45.62% ( 1.59) | 54.38% ( -1.59) |
| Leicester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.94% ( -1.03) | 29.06% ( 1.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.03% ( -1.29) | 64.97% ( 1.28) |
| Score Analysis |
Aston Villa 44.41%
Leicester City 30.53%
Draw 25.05%
| Aston Villa | Draw | Leicester City |
| 1-0 @ 9.59% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 9.14% ( 0.2)2-0 @ 7.39% ( 0.37)3-1 @ 4.7% ( 0.25)3-0 @ 3.8% ( 0.3)3-2 @ 2.9% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 1.81% ( 0.15)4-0 @ 1.47% ( 0.16)4-2 @ 1.12% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.51% Total : 44.41% | 1-1 @ 11.84% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 6.22% ( -0.08)2-2 @ 5.65% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.2% ( -0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.05% | 0-1 @ 7.68% ( -0.32) 1-2 @ 7.32% ( -0.28)0-2 @ 4.75% ( -0.34)1-3 @ 3.02% ( -0.21)2-3 @ 2.33% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.2)1-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.55% Total : 30.53% |
How you voted: Aston Villa vs Leicester
Aston Villa
64.6%Draw
18.4%Leicester City
17.0%147
Head to Head
Sep 10, 2022 3pm
Apr 23, 2022 3pm
Dec 5, 2021 4.30pm
Feb 21, 2021 2.05pm
Form Guide
