MX23RW : Tuesday, December 3 15:58:52| >> :600:2137996:2137996:
Newcastle logo
EFL Cup | Quarter-Finals
Jan 10, 2023 at 8pm UK
St. James' Park
Leicester logo

Newcastle
2 - 0
Leicester

Burn (60'), Joelinton (72')
Longstaff (37'), Burn (38'), Botman (81')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Perez (62'), Ndidi (67')

The Match

Match Report

Goals from Dan Burn and Joelinton guide Newcastle United to a comfortable 2-0 victory over Leicester City, which secures their passage to the EFL Cup semi-finals.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Newcastle United and Leicester City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 45.9%. A win for Leicester City had a probability of 29.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.27%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Leicester City win was 1-2 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.

Result
Newcastle UnitedDrawLeicester City
45.9% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 24.54% (-0.0040000000000013 -0) 29.55% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Both teams to score 56.96% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.34% (0.024000000000001 0.02)45.66% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.02% (0.023 0.02)67.98% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.01% (0.016000000000005 0.02)19.99% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.83% (0.021999999999998 0.02)52.17% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.19% (0.012 0.01)28.81% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.34% (0.013999999999996 0.01)64.66% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Newcastle United 45.91%
    Leicester City 29.55%
    Draw 24.53%
Newcastle UnitedDrawLeicester City
2-1 @ 9.29% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 9.27% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 7.46% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 4.99% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 4.01% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 3.1% (0.0029999999999997 0)
4-1 @ 2.01% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.61% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.25% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 45.91%
1-1 @ 11.53% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.78% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 5.76% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 1.29% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.53%
1-2 @ 7.18% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-1 @ 7.17% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 4.46% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-3 @ 2.98%
2-3 @ 2.4% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.85%
1-4 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 29.55%

How you voted: Newcastle vs Leicester

Newcastle United
68.4%
Draw
12.3%
Leicester City
19.3%
187
Head to Head
Dec 26, 2022 3pm
Apr 17, 2022 2.15pm
Newcastle
2-1
Leicester
Guimaraes (30', 90+5')
Krafth (84'), Guimaraes (90+5')
Lookman (19')
Amartey (1'), Mendy (90+6')
Dec 12, 2021 2pm
Leicester
4-0
Newcastle
Tielemans (38' pen., 81'), Daka (57'), Maddison (85')
Castagne (11'), Soyuncu (64')

Lewis (24'), Manquillo (70'), Saint-Maximin (90')
May 7, 2021 8pm
Leicester
2-4
Newcastle
Albrighton (80'), Iheanacho (87')
Iheanacho (72')
Willock (22'), Dummett (34'), Wilson (64', 73')
Krafth (56')
Jan 3, 2021 2.15pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Browns
32-41
Broncos
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool1311112681834
2Arsenal1374226141225
3Chelsea1374226141225
4Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton136522217523
5Manchester CityMan City137242219323
6Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest136431613322
7Tottenham HotspurSpurs1362528141420
8Brentford136252623320
9Manchester UnitedMan Utd135441713419
10Fulham135441818019
11Newcastle UnitedNewcastle135441414019
12Aston Villa135441922-319
13Bournemouth135352019118
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham134361724-715
15Everton132561021-1111
16Leicester CityLeicester132471627-1110
17Crystal Palace131661118-79
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves132382232-109
19Ipswich TownIpswich131661324-119
20Southampton1312101025-155


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