MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 12:24:05| >> :600:1088309:1088309:
Newcastle logo
EFL Cup | Round of 16
Dec 20, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
St. James' Park
Bournemouth logo

Newcastle
1 - 0
Bournemouth

Smith (67' og.)
Trippier (69')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Cook (47')

The Match

Match Report

Newcastle United reach the EFL Cup quarter-finals after a 1-0 win over Bournemouth.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Newcastle United and Bournemouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Newcastle 2-1 Rayo Vallecano
Saturday, December 17 at 12.30pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Bournemouth 3-0 Everton
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 58.62%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Bournemouth had a probability of 20.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.83%) and 1-0 (8.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.69%), while for a Bournemouth win it was 1-2 (5.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.

Result
Newcastle UnitedDrawBournemouth
58.62% (-3.634 -3.63) 21.09% (0.227 0.23) 20.29% (3.408 3.41)
Both teams to score 58.61% (5.724 5.72)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.18% (4.474 4.47)38.82% (-4.471 -4.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.86% (4.56 4.56)61.13% (-4.558 -4.56)
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87% (0.34699999999999 0.35)12.99% (-0.346 -0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.49% (0.701 0.7)39.51% (-0.7 -0.7)
Bournemouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.36% (6.335 6.34)32.64% (-6.334 -6.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.81% (6.514 6.51)69.18% (-6.513 -6.51)
Score Analysis
    Newcastle United 58.62%
    Bournemouth 20.29%
    Draw 21.09%
Newcastle UnitedDrawBournemouth
2-1 @ 9.89% (-0.052999999999999 -0.05)
2-0 @ 8.83% (-1.709 -1.71)
1-0 @ 8.65% (-1.816 -1.82)
3-1 @ 6.73% (0.052 0.05)
3-0 @ 6.01% (-1.076 -1.08)
3-2 @ 3.77% (0.621 0.62)
4-1 @ 3.43% (0.071 0.07)
4-0 @ 3.07% (-0.502 -0.5)
4-2 @ 1.92% (0.337 0.34)
5-1 @ 1.4% (0.047 0.05)
5-0 @ 1.25% (-0.186 -0.19)
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 58.62%
1-1 @ 9.69% (-0.178 -0.18)
2-2 @ 5.54% (0.852 0.85)
0-0 @ 4.24% (-0.957 -0.96)
3-3 @ 1.41% (0.417 0.42)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 21.09%
1-2 @ 5.43% (0.775 0.78)
0-1 @ 4.75% (-0.151 -0.15)
0-2 @ 2.66% (0.35 0.35)
2-3 @ 2.07% (0.595 0.6)
1-3 @ 2.03% (0.564 0.56)
0-3 @ 0.99% (0.267 0.27)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 20.29%

How you voted: Newcastle vs Bournemouth

Newcastle United
73.9%
Draw
11.6%
Bournemouth
14.5%
138
Head to Head
Sep 17, 2022 3pm
Mar 16, 2019 3pm
Bournemouth
2-2
Newcastle
King (48' pen., 81')
Lerma (19'), Ibe (45'), Daniels (83')
Rondon (45'), Ritchie (94')
Perez (9'), Hayden (75')
Nov 10, 2018 3pm
Newcastle
2-1
Bournemouth
Rondon (7', 40')
Schar (45'), Rondon (90')
Lerma (45')
Cook (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144


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