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EFL Cup
Leicester logo
EFL Cup | Third Round
Nov 8, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
King Power Stadium
Newport County

Leicester
3 - 0
Newport

Justin (44'), Vardy (70', 82')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Leicester City and Newport County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Leicester City

All competitions
EFL Cup
Last Game: Everton 0-2 Leicester
Saturday, November 5 at 5.30pm in Premier League

Newport County

All competitions
EFL Cup
Last Game: Newport 2-0 Colchester
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in FA Cup

We said: Leicester City 4-0 Newport County

 As impressive as Newport have been on home soil recently, winning away from home has not been so simple for the League Two side, who should not expect miracles at the King Power. Leicester will certainly not field a full-strength XI, but with form on their side and an impeccable defensive record to boast about, we expect the Foxes to cruise through to round four. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 51.44%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Newport County had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.62%), while for a Newport County win it was 0-1 (7.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.

Result
Leicester CityDrawNewport County
51.44% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02) 24.45% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 24.1% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 52.61% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.76% (0.039000000000001 0.04)49.23% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.7% (0.036000000000001 0.04)71.29% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.87% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)19.13% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.23% (0.011999999999993 0.01)50.77% (-0.012 -0.01)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.05% (0.042000000000002 0.04)34.95% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.31% (0.043999999999997 0.04)71.69% (-0.043000000000006 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Leicester City 51.44%
    Newport County 24.1%
    Draw 24.45%
Leicester CityDrawNewport County
1-0 @ 11.05% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.61%
2-0 @ 9.14% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.3% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 5.04% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 2.79% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 2.19% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-0 @ 2.09% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.15% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 51.44%
1-1 @ 11.62%
0-0 @ 6.69% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.05% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.98% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.45%
0-1 @ 7.03% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 6.11% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.69% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 2.14% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.77% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.3% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 24.1%

How you voted: Leicester vs Newport

Leicester City
89.9%
Draw
2.5%
Newport County
7.6%
79
Head to Head
Jan 6, 2019 4.30pm
Newport
2-1
Leicester
Matt (10'), Amond (85' pen.)
Ghezzal (82')
Okazaki (45')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144
> Premier League Full Table


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