EFL Cup

EFL Cup | Third Round

Nov 8, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

King Power Stadium

Leicester
3 - 0
Newport

Justin (44'), Vardy (70', 82')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Leicester City and Newport County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Leicester City

All competitions

EFL Cup

Last Game: Everton 0-2 Leicester
Saturday, November 5 at 5.30pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Newport County

All competitions

EFL Cup

Last Game: Newport 2-0 Colchester
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Leicester City 4-0 Newport County

As impressive as Newport have been on home soil recently, winning away from home has not been so simple for the League Two side, who should not expect miracles at the King Power. Leicester will certainly not field a full-strength XI, but with form on their side and an impeccable defensive record to boast about, we expect the Foxes to cruise through to round four. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 51.44%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Newport County had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.62%), while for a Newport County win it was 0-1 (7.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.

Result
Leicester City	Draw	Newport County
51.44% ( -0.02)	24.45% ( -0.01)	24.1% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 52.61% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.76% (

0.04)

49.23% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.7% (

0.04)

71.29% (

-0.04)

Leicester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.87% (

0.01)

19.13% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.23% (

0.01)

50.77% (

-0.01)

Newport County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.05% (

0.04)

34.95% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.31% (

0.04)

71.69% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Leicester City 51.44%

Newport County 24.1%

Draw 24.45%

Leicester City	Draw	Newport County
1-0 @ 11.05% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.61% 2-0 @ 9.14% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.3% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.04% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.79% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.19% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.09% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.15% ( 0) Other @ 3.07% Total : 51.44%	1-1 @ 11.62% 0-0 @ 6.69% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.05% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.45%	0-1 @ 7.03% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.11% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.69% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.14% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.77% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.3% ( 0) Other @ 2.06% Total : 24.1%