Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 5

Oct 18, 2020 at 7.15pm UK

King Power Stadium

Leicester
0 - 1
Aston Villa

Perez (31'), Tielemans (41'), Castagne (73'), Evans (74')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Barkley (90+1')
McGinn (32'), Cash (40'), Luiz (71')

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Aston Villa manager Dean Smith pictured on September 24, 2020

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The Match

Match Report

Villa have won their opening four league games of a season for the first time since the 1930-31 campaign

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Leicester City and Aston Villa, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 52.72%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Aston Villa had a probability of 22.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.1%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.88%), while for an Aston Villa win it was 0-1 (7.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result
Leicester City	Draw	Aston Villa
52.72%	25.1%	22.18%

Both teams to score 48.46%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.39%

53.6%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.89%

75.1%

Leicester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.67%

20.33%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.29%

52.71%

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.83%

39.17%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.11%

75.88%

Score Analysis

Leicester City 52.7%

Aston Villa 22.18%

Draw 25.09%

Leicester City	Draw	Aston Villa
1-0 @ 12.68% 2-0 @ 10.1% 2-1 @ 9.47% 3-0 @ 5.37% 3-1 @ 5.03% 3-2 @ 2.36% 4-0 @ 2.14% 4-1 @ 2% 4-2 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.62% Total : 52.7%	1-1 @ 11.88% 0-0 @ 7.96% 2-2 @ 4.44% Other @ 0.81% Total : 25.09%	0-1 @ 7.46% 1-2 @ 5.57% 0-2 @ 3.5% 1-3 @ 1.74% 2-3 @ 1.39% 0-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 1.43% Total : 22.18%