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Leicester logo
Premier League | Gameweek 5
Oct 18, 2020 at 7.15pm UK
King Power Stadium
Aston Villa logo

Leicester
0 - 1
Aston Villa


Perez (31'), Tielemans (41'), Castagne (73'), Evans (74')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Barkley (90+1')
McGinn (32'), Cash (40'), Luiz (71')

Preview: Leicester City vs. Aston Villa - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Leicester City and Aston Villa, including team news and predicted lineups.

Surprise package Aston Villa will be looking to maintain their perfect start to the Premier League season when they take on Leicester City at the King Power Stadium on Sunday.

The Villans have won three games from three so far, including an incredible 7-2 victory over Liverpool last time out, while Leicester's winning streak came to an end two weeks ago.


Match preview

Aston Villa striker Ollie Watkins celebrates with teammates after completing his hat-trick against Liverpool on October 4, 2020© Reuters

Nearly a fortnight on from their historic win over the champions, many Villa supporters are still coming to terms with what they watched unfold at Villa Park.

Ollie Watkins scored a first-half hat-trick and Jack Grealish had a hand in five of the goals, as Dean Smith's men recorded one of the Premier League's most shocking ever results.

That win came on the back of victories over Sheffield United and Fulham without conceding, leaving Villa second in the table with a game in hand to play on leaders Everton.

Going further back, the Villans are now unbeaten in seven league games, winning five of those and keeping a clean sheet in all but one.

Whisper it quietly, but there are plenty of parallels between Villa's start to 2020-21 and Leicester's memorable run to the Premier League title four years ago.

Leicester City's Jamie Vardy claims the match ball after his hat-trick against Manchester City on September 27, 2020© Reuters

Like Villa, the Foxes won their opening three league games this term, culminating in a 5-2 win away at Manchester City to make it 12 goals scored in those three matches.

However, the momentum built by Brendan Rodgers's side was halted by West Ham United before the international break, with the Hammers winning 3-0 at the King Power Stadium.

On a weekend of massive shocks last time out, Leicester's defeat went under the radar somewhat, but Rodgers has had a fortnight to work out exactly what went wrong in that game.

A home meeting with in-form Villa will be a tough assignment, though City do have a very good record in this fixture, winning four of the last five and drawing the other.

In fact, Villa have won just one of their 11 Premier League away games against Leicester, losing the last three in a row since a 5-0 victory in January 2004.

Leicester City Premier League form: WWWL
Leicester City form (all competitions): WWLWL

Aston Villa Premier League form: WWW
Aston Villa form (all competitions): WWWWLW



Team News

Leicester City striker Jamie Vardy celebrates scoring on July 4, 2020© Reuters

Leicester are still without Wilfred Ndidi and Danilo Pereira, while a number of others - including Jonny Evans, James Maddison and Daniel Amartey - are fitness doubts.

With Caglar Soyuncu also carrying a knock, Wesley Fofana is expected to come straight into the side for his debut after joining in a £30m deal earlier this month.

Jamie Vardy has had a two-week rest and will be aiming to add to a return of five goals in four previous meetings with Villa, including braces home and away last season.

As for the visitors, Wesley Moraes and Tom Heaton are their only two confirmed injury absentees for this short trip across the Midlands.

Douglas Luiz, John McGinn and Conor Hourihane featured heavily for their countries over the international break, but Smith is unlikely to make any changes if it can be avoided.

In-form playmaker Grealish has been involved in seven goals in his last four Premier League games, having been involved in just six goals in his previous 23 appearances.

Leicester City possible starting lineup:
Schmeichel; Castagne, Morgan, Fofana, Justin; Mendy; Under, Tielemans, Maddison, Barnes; Vardy

Aston Villa possible starting lineup:
Martinez; Cash, Konsa, Mings, Targett; McGinn, Luiz, Barkley; Trezeguet, Watkins, Grealish


SM words green background

We say: Leicester City 2-1 Aston Villa

Villa have not started a league campaign with four successive wins at any level since 1930-31 when finishing second to Arsenal in the top flight.

The Villans have plenty of momentum on their side, even accounting for the two-week break, but Leicester will be desperate to bounce back from their surprise loss to West Ham.

This is a fixture City tend to do well in and we are backing them to come away with all three points this weekend.


Top betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data


Video prediction

Watch the Sports Mole Football Shorts prediction for this game below:



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 52.72%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Aston Villa had a probability of 22.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.1%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.88%), while for an Aston Villa win it was 0-1 (7.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.


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Game History

Who will win Sunday's Premier League clash between Leicester City and Aston Villa?

Leicester City
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
Aston Villa
0.0%
0
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Leicester City manager Brendan Rodgers pictured on July 1, 2020
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City127232217523
3Chelsea126422314922
4Arsenal126422112922
5Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton126422116522
6Tottenham HotspurSpurs1261527131419
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest125431513219
8Aston Villa125431919019
9Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
10Fulham125341717018
11Brentford125252222017
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
13Bournemouth124351617-115
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Everton122551017-711
16Leicester CityLeicester122461523-810
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves122372028-89
18Crystal Palace121561017-78
19Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
20Southampton11119721-144


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