Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 53.49%. A win for Tottenham Hotspur had a probability of 23.42% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.72%) and 0-2 (8.77%). The likeliest Tottenham Hotspur win was 2-1 (6.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.