Champions League

Champions League | Group Stage

Nov 2, 2022 at 8pm UK

Etihad Stadium

Man City
3 - 1
Sevilla

Lewis (52'), Alvarez (73'), Mahrez (83')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Mir (31')

Manchester City condemn 'vile' racist abuse towards Rico Lewis from Sevilla fans

Manchester City condemn the racist abuse that 17-year-old Rico Lewis received from Sevilla supporters during Wednesday's Champions League fixture at the Etihad Stadium.

Nov 3, 19:14

Rico Lewis celebrates scoring for Manchester City on November 2, 2022

Manchester City's Rico Lewis breaks Karim Benzema Champions League record in Sevilla win

Seventeen-year-old Rico Lewis breaks a Champions League record previously set by Karim Benzema after scoring in Manchester City's 3-1 victory against Sevilla at the Etihad Stadium.

Nov 2, 22:21

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Manchester City

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Leicester 0-1 Man City
Saturday, October 29 at 12.30pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Sevilla

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Sevilla 0-1 Rayo Vallecano
Saturday, October 29 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 63.46%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Sevilla had a probability of 14.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.81%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.33%), while for a Sevilla win it was 0-1 (5.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.

Result
Manchester City	Draw	Sevilla
63.46% ( 0.03)	22.03% ( 0.01)	14.5% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 43.99% (

-0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.58% (

-0.11)

52.41% (

0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.91% (

-0.09)

74.09% (

0.09)

Manchester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.06% (

-0.02)

15.94% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.79% (

-0.05)

45.21% (

0.05)

Sevilla Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.34% (

-0.12)

47.66% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.02% (

-0.09)

82.98% (

0.1)

Score Analysis

Manchester City 63.46%

Sevilla 14.5%

Draw 22.02%

Manchester City	Draw	Sevilla
1-0 @ 13.95% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 12.81% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.49% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 7.84% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.81% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 3.6% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.67% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.15% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.32% 4-2 @ 0.99% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 1.85% Total : 63.46%	1-1 @ 10.33% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.6% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 3.52% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.58% Total : 22.02%	0-1 @ 5.63% ( 0) 1-2 @ 3.83% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.09% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.01% Total : 14.5%