Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 20

Feb 11, 2023 at 5.30pm UK

Red Bull Arena

RB Leipzig
1 - 2
Union Berlin

Henrichs (24')
Halstenberg (60'), Schlager (69'), Werner (81'), Poulsen (88')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Haberer (61'), Knoche (72' pen.)
Knoche (57'), Laidouni (65'), Siebatcheu (90+1'), Leite (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between RB Leipzig and Union Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

RB Leipzig

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: FC Koln 0-0 RB Leipzig
Saturday, February 4 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Union Berlin

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Union Berlin 2-1 Mainz
Saturday, February 4 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: RB Leipzig 1-1 Union Berlin

Both teams have amassed impressive unbeaten runs in recent weeks, and there is unlikely to be much splitting the two teams on Saturday, especially with Leipzig missing Olmo and Nkunku through injury. As such, given the amount at stake in terms of their pursuits to finish in the top four, we can envisage both teams settling for a point should the match be heading in that direction. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 58.96%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 18.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.74%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.74%), while for a Union Berlin win it was 0-1 (5.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
RB Leipzig	Draw	Union Berlin
58.96% ( 0.03)	22.58% ( -0.01)	18.45% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 50.42% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.86% (

-0.01)

48.13% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.7% (

-0.01)

70.29% (

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.02% (

0.01)

15.98% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.71% (

0.02)

45.29% (

-0.02)

Union Berlin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.01% (

-0.03)

39.98% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.36% (

-0.03)

76.64% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

RB Leipzig 58.95%

Union Berlin 18.45%

Draw 22.58%

RB Leipzig	Draw	Union Berlin
1-0 @ 11.71% 2-0 @ 10.74% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.85% 3-0 @ 6.57% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.02% ( 0) 4-0 @ 3.01% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.76% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.76% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.27% 5-0 @ 1.1% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 2.15% Total : 58.95%	1-1 @ 10.74% 0-0 @ 6.39% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.51% ( -0) Other @ 0.94% Total : 22.58%	0-1 @ 5.86% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.92% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.69% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.5% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.38% ( -0) Other @ 2.1% Total : 18.45%