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Bundesliga
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 20
Feb 11, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Red Bull Arena
Union Berlin logo

RB Leipzig
1 - 2
Union Berlin

Henrichs (24')
Halstenberg (60'), Schlager (69'), Werner (81'), Poulsen (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Haberer (61'), Knoche (72' pen.)
Knoche (57'), Laidouni (65'), Siebatcheu (90+1'), Leite (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between RB Leipzig and Union Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

RB Leipzig

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: FC Koln 0-0 RB Leipzig
Saturday, February 4 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Union Berlin

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Union Berlin 2-1 Mainz
Saturday, February 4 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: RB Leipzig 1-1 Union Berlin

 Both teams have amassed impressive unbeaten runs in recent weeks, and there is unlikely to be much splitting the two teams on Saturday, especially with Leipzig missing Olmo and Nkunku through injury. As such, given the amount at stake in terms of their pursuits to finish in the top four, we can envisage both teams settling for a point should the match be heading in that direction. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 58.96%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 18.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.74%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.74%), while for a Union Berlin win it was 0-1 (5.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
RB LeipzigDrawUnion Berlin
58.96% (0.029000000000003 0.03) 22.58% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01) 18.45% (-0.026 -0.03)
Both teams to score 50.42% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.86% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)48.13% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.7% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)70.29% (0.0010000000000048 0)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.02% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)15.98% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.71% (0.015000000000001 0.02)45.29% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.01% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)39.98% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.36% (-0.029 -0.03)76.64% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Score Analysis
    RB Leipzig 58.95%
    Union Berlin 18.45%
    Draw 22.58%
RB LeipzigDrawUnion Berlin
1-0 @ 11.71%
2-0 @ 10.74% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.85%
3-0 @ 6.57% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.02% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-0 @ 3.01% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.76% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.76% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.27%
5-0 @ 1.1% (0.002 0)
5-1 @ 1.01% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 58.95%
1-1 @ 10.74%
0-0 @ 6.39% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 4.51% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 22.58%
0-1 @ 5.86% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 4.92% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.69% (-0.004 -0)
1-3 @ 1.5% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 1.38% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 18.45%

How you voted: RB Leipzig vs Union Berlin

RB Leipzig
51.6%
Draw
24.2%
Union Berlin
24.2%
91
Head to Head
Aug 20, 2022 5.30pm
Union Berlin
2-1
RB Leipzig
Siebatcheu (32'), Becker (38')
Ronnow (49'), Behrens (65')
Orban (83')
Kampl (30')
Apr 23, 2022 2.30pm
RB Leipzig
1-2
Union Berlin
Poulsen (46')
Olmo (87'), Adams (90+6')
Michel (86'), Behrens (89')
Behrens (90+1'), Ronnow (90+4')
Apr 20, 2022 7.45pm
Semi-Finals
RB Leipzig
2-1
Union Berlin
Silva (61' pen.), Forsberg (90+3')
Laimer (35'), Simakan (90+4')
Becker (25')
Knoche (43'), Khedira (80'), Michel (90+5')
Dec 3, 2021 7.30pm
Union Berlin
2-1
RB Leipzig
Awoniyi (6'), Baumgartl (57')
Khedira (64')
Nkunku (13')
Szoboszlai (65')
May 22, 2021 2.30pm
Union Berlin
2-1
RB Leipzig
Friedrich (67'), Kruse (90+2')
Trimmel (53'), Schlotterbeck (76')
Kluivert (55')
Sabitzer (25')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202
> Bundesliga Full Table


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