MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 14:01:55| >> :60:300:300:
Union Berlin logo
DFB-Pokal | Round of 16
Jan 31, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadion An der Alten Försterei
Wolfsburg

Union Berlin
2 - 1
Wolfsburg

Knoche (12'), Behrens (79')
Giesselmann (42'), Khedira (42')
Giesselmann (87')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Waldschmidt (5')
Svanberg (57'), van de Ven (77'), Nmecha (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's DFB-Pokal clash between Union Berlin and Wolfsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Union Berlin

All competitions
DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Hertha Berlin 0-2 Union Berlin
Saturday, January 28 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Wolfsburg

All competitions
DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Werder Bremen 2-1 Wolfsburg
Saturday, January 28 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Union Berlin 1-2 Wolfsburg

 With Union Berlin challenging for the Champions League spots and still remaining in the hunt for the Europa League, we can envisage Wolfsburg possessing a little more appetite to win this match. As such, Kovac may make fewer changes to his strongest XI than Fischer, with the Wolves potentially biting back after seeing their impressive unbeaten run come to an end at the weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 44.86%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 29.74% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (7.7%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 0-1 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union Berlin would win this match.

Result
Union BerlinDrawWolfsburg
44.86% (-0.34800000000001 -0.35) 25.39% (0.132 0.13) 29.74% (0.213 0.21)
Both teams to score 54.23% (-0.309 -0.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.72% (-0.457 -0.46)49.28% (0.455 0.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.67% (-0.412 -0.41)71.33% (0.411 0.41)
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.05% (-0.351 -0.35)21.94% (0.349 0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.77% (-0.534 -0.53)55.23% (0.532 0.53)
Wolfsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.48% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)30.52% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.26% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)66.74% (0.094999999999999 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Union Berlin 44.86%
    Wolfsburg 29.74%
    Draw 25.39%
Union BerlinDrawWolfsburg
1-0 @ 10.15% (0.08 0.08)
2-1 @ 9.14% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-0 @ 7.7% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.62% (-0.071 -0.07)
3-0 @ 3.89% (-0.05 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.74% (-0.048 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.75% (-0.046 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.48% (-0.035 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.04% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 44.86%
1-1 @ 12.05% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 6.7% (0.124 0.12)
2-2 @ 5.43% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.09% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.39%
0-1 @ 7.95% (0.129 0.13)
1-2 @ 7.15% (0.026 0.03)
0-2 @ 4.72% (0.066999999999999 0.07)
1-3 @ 2.83% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 2.15% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.87% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 29.74%

How you voted: Union Berlin vs Wolfsburg

Union Berlin
53.1%
Draw
18.5%
Wolfsburg
28.5%
130
Head to Head
Sep 18, 2022 2.30pm
Union Berlin
2-0
Wolfsburg
Siebatcheu (54'), Becker (77')
Mar 5, 2022 2.30pm
Wolfsburg
1-0
Union Berlin
Awoniyi (24' og.)

Mohwald (90')
Oct 16, 2021 2.30pm
Union Berlin
2-0
Wolfsburg
Awoniyi (49'), Becker (83')
Giesselmann (38'), Knoche (55'), Jaeckel (79')

Bornauw (86')
May 8, 2021 2.30pm
Wolfsburg
3-0
Union Berlin
Brekalo (12', 63', 90')
Mbabu (31')
Jan 9, 2021 2.30pm
Union Berlin
2-2
Wolfsburg
Becker (29'), Andrich (52')
Ingvartsen (65'), Hubner (70'), Knoche (90+1')
Steffen (10'), Weghorst (65' pen.)
Weghorst (57')
Arnold (50')
rhs 2.0
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