DFB-Pokal | Second Round

Oct 19, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Stadion An der Alten Försterei

Union Berlin
2 - 0
Heidenheim

Puchacz (7'), Michel (52')
Knoche (90')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Mainka (29'), Geipl (62')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's DFB-Pokal clash between Union Berlin and Heidenheim, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Union Berlin

All competitions

DFB-Pokal

Last Game: Union Berlin 2-0 Dortmund
Sunday, October 16 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Heidenheim

All competitions

DFB-Pokal

Last Game: Holstein Kiel 3-1 Heidenheim
Sunday, October 16 at 12.30pm in 2.Bundesliga

Goals
for

We said: Union Berlin 1-0 Heidenheim

Should Fischer significantly rotate his starting XI, which would not be surprising given that they are competing on three fronts this season, Heidenheim may push their opponents all of the way. However, Union Berlin generally remain defensively resolute regardless of the personnel within their back five, and we expect no different on Wednesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 41.27%. A win for Heidenheim had a probability of 32.21% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Heidenheim win was 0-1 (9.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Union Berlin would win this match.

Result
Union Berlin	Draw	Heidenheim
41.27% ( -0.07)	26.51% ( -0.05)	32.21% ( 0.12)

Both teams to score 51.77% (

0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.02% (

0.22)

52.98% (

-0.23)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.42% (

0.19)

74.58% (

-0.19)

Union Berlin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.68% (

0.06)

25.32% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.9% (

0.09)

60.1% (

-0.09)

Heidenheim Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.32% (

0.19)

30.68% (

-0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.06% (

0.23)

66.94% (

-0.23)

Score Analysis

Union Berlin 41.27%

Heidenheim 32.21%

Draw 26.51%

Union Berlin	Draw	Heidenheim
1-0 @ 10.67% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 8.66% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.33% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 3.97% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.36% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.34% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.36% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.15% ( -0) Other @ 2.44% Total : 41.27%	1-1 @ 12.6% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.77% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.12% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.51%	0-1 @ 9.18% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.45% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 5.42% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.93% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 2.14% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.01% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.08% Total : 32.21%