MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 14:16:03| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Wolfsburg
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 7
Sep 18, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
Stadion An der Alten Försterei
Wolfsburg

Union Berlin
2 - 0
Wolfsburg

Siebatcheu (54'), Becker (77')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Union Berlin and Wolfsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Union Berlin

Last Six:
Last Game: Braga 1-0 Union Berlin
Thursday, September 15 at 8pm in Europa League

Wolfsburg

Last Six:
Last Game: Frankfurt 0-1 Wolfsburg
Saturday, September 10 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Union Berlin 1-0 Wolfsburg

 We can envisage a tight match between two teams who prefer to quickly counter-attack to building possession slowly, but there is little doubt that the hosts are in much better shape at present. Fischer's side are tough to break down and, with Sheraldo Becker and Jordan Siebatcheu both in excellent form, they pack a bigger punch, too. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 51.47%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 23.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.59%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.9%), while for a Wolfsburg win it was 0-1 (7.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Union Berlin would win this match.

Result
Union BerlinDrawWolfsburg
51.47% (0.364 0.36) 25.04% (0.087 0.09) 23.48% (-0.451 -0.45)
Both teams to score 50.12% (-0.751 -0.75)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.82% (-0.748 -0.75)52.18% (0.749 0.75)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.11% (-0.649 -0.65)73.89% (0.649 0.65)
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.73% (-0.146 -0.15)20.27% (0.148 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.38% (-0.236 -0.24)52.62% (0.237 0.24)
Wolfsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.86% (-0.826 -0.83)37.13% (0.827 0.83)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.08% (-0.825 -0.82)73.92% (0.827 0.83)
Score Analysis
    Union Berlin 51.47%
    Wolfsburg 23.48%
    Draw 25.04%
Union BerlinDrawWolfsburg
1-0 @ 12.01% (0.3 0.3)
2-0 @ 9.59% (0.196 0.2)
2-1 @ 9.5% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
3-0 @ 5.1% (0.081 0.08)
3-1 @ 5.05% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.5% (-0.073 -0.07)
4-0 @ 2.04% (0.023 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.02% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 51.47%
1-1 @ 11.9% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 7.53% (0.221 0.22)
2-2 @ 4.7% (-0.115 -0.12)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 25.04%
0-1 @ 7.46% (0.055 0.05)
1-2 @ 5.9% (-0.117 -0.12)
0-2 @ 3.69% (-0.056 -0.06)
1-3 @ 1.95% (-0.084 -0.08)
2-3 @ 1.55% (-0.075 -0.08)
0-3 @ 1.22% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 23.48%

How you voted: Union Berlin vs Wolfsburg

Union Berlin
85.1%
Draw
10.8%
Wolfsburg
4.1%
74
Head to Head
Mar 5, 2022 2.30pm
Wolfsburg
1-0
Union Berlin
Awoniyi (24' og.)

Mohwald (90')
Oct 16, 2021 2.30pm
Union Berlin
2-0
Wolfsburg
Awoniyi (49'), Becker (83')
Giesselmann (38'), Knoche (55'), Jaeckel (79')

Bornauw (86')
May 8, 2021 2.30pm
Wolfsburg
3-0
Union Berlin
Brekalo (12', 63', 90')
Mbabu (31')
Jan 9, 2021 2.30pm
Union Berlin
2-2
Wolfsburg
Becker (29'), Andrich (52')
Ingvartsen (65'), Hubner (70'), Knoche (90+1')
Steffen (10'), Weghorst (65' pen.)
Weghorst (57')
Arnold (50')
Mar 1, 2020 12.30pm
Union Berlin
2-2
Wolfsburg
Andersson (41'), Friedrich (57')
Andrich (53')
Gerhardt (60'), Weghorst (81')
Arnold (40'), Steffen (61')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202
> Bundesliga Full Table


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