Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 7

Sep 18, 2022 at 2.30pm UK

Stadion An der Alten Försterei

Union Berlin
2 - 0
Wolfsburg

Siebatcheu (54'), Becker (77')

FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Union Berlin and Wolfsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Union Berlin

Last Six:

Last Game: Braga 1-0 Union Berlin
Thursday, September 15 at 8pm in Europa League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Borussia Dortmund	7	2	15
2	Union Berlin	6	9	14
3	Freiburg	6	5	13

Wolfsburg

Last Six:

Last Game: Frankfurt 0-1 Wolfsburg
Saturday, September 10 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
16	Stuttgart	7	-3	5
17	Wolfsburg	6	-5	5
18	VfL Bochum	6	-14	0

We said: Union Berlin 1-0 Wolfsburg

We can envisage a tight match between two teams who prefer to quickly counter-attack to building possession slowly, but there is little doubt that the hosts are in much better shape at present. Fischer's side are tough to break down and, with Sheraldo Becker and Jordan Siebatcheu both in excellent form, they pack a bigger punch, too. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 51.47%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 23.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.59%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.9%), while for a Wolfsburg win it was 0-1 (7.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Union Berlin would win this match.

Result
Union Berlin	Draw	Wolfsburg
51.47% ( 0.36)	25.04% ( 0.09)	23.48% ( -0.45)

Both teams to score 50.12% (

-0.75)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.82% (

-0.75)

52.18% (

0.75)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.11% (

-0.65)

73.89% (

0.65)

Union Berlin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.73% (

-0.15)

20.27% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.38% (

-0.24)

52.62% (

0.24)

Wolfsburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.86% (

-0.83)

37.13% (

0.83)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.08% (

-0.82)

73.92% (

0.83)

Score Analysis

Union Berlin 51.47%

Wolfsburg 23.48%

Draw 25.04%

Union Berlin	Draw	Wolfsburg
1-0 @ 12.01% ( 0.3) 2-0 @ 9.59% ( 0.2) 2-1 @ 9.5% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 5.1% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 5.05% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.5% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 2.04% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.02% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.67% Total : 51.47%	1-1 @ 11.9% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 7.53% ( 0.22) 2-2 @ 4.7% ( -0.12) Other @ 0.91% Total : 25.04%	0-1 @ 7.46% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 5.9% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 3.69% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.72% Total : 23.48%