Europa League

Europa League | Group Stage

Oct 6, 2022 at 5.45pm UK

Swedbank Stadion, Malm

Malmo
0 - 1
Union Berlin

Rakip (42'), Beijmo (73')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Becker (68')
Haberer (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Malmo and Union Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Malmo

All competitions

Europa League

Last Game: Malmo 0-0 Hammarby
Saturday, October 1 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

Goals
for

Union Berlin

All competitions

Europa League

Last Game: Frankfurt 2-0 Union Berlin
Saturday, October 1 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Malmo 0-2 Union Berlin

Both teams need to win this match to stand a realistic chance of progressing to the knockout stages, and we can envisage an entertaining match as a result. However, there is little doubt that the visitors possess greater individual quality, which should help them record the first victory of their European campaign. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 41.53%. A win for Malmo had a probability of 33.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.83%) and 0-2 (6.9%). The likeliest Malmo win was 1-0 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Union Berlin in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Union Berlin.

Result
Malmo	Draw	Union Berlin
33.02% ( -0.19)	25.45% ( -0.06)	41.53% ( 0.25)

Both teams to score 55.48% (

0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.69% (

0.22)

48.3% (

-0.22)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.55% (

0.2)

70.45% (

-0.2)

Malmo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.16% (

-0.01)

27.84% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.56% (

-0.01)

63.44% (

0.01)

Union Berlin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.89% (

0.22)

23.11% (

-0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.03% (

0.32)

56.96% (

-0.32)

Score Analysis

Malmo 33.02%

Union Berlin 41.53%

Draw 25.45%

Malmo	Draw	Union Berlin
1-0 @ 8.23% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 7.71% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 5.26% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 3.28% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.41% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.24% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.05% ( -0) Other @ 2.84% Total : 33.02%	1-1 @ 12.05% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.43% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.64% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.45%	0-1 @ 9.43% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.83% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 6.9% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 4.31% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 3.37% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.76% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.58% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 1.23% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.01% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.11% Total : 41.53%