Europa League

Europa League | Group Stage

Oct 13, 2022 at 8pm UK

Stadion An der Alten Försterei

Union Berlin
1 - 0
Malmo

Knoche (88' pen.)
Haberer (8'), Trimmel (29'), Knoche (61'), Khedira (63'), Thorsby (72')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Kiese Thelin (14'), Pena (36'), Hareide (65'), Olsson (76'), Knudsen (84'), Lomotey (87'), Christiansen (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Union Berlin and Malmo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Union Berlin

All competitions

Europa League

Last Game: Stuttgart 0-1 Union Berlin
Sunday, October 9 at 6.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Malmo

All competitions

Europa League

Last Game: Malmo 0-0 Varnamo
Sunday, October 9 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

Goals
for

We said: Union Berlin 2-0 Malmo

We expect Union Berlin to gain a fairly comfortable victory on Thursday, with yet another clean sheet for Fischer's side likely given their defensive organisation. Malmo have failed to impose themselves in Europe this season and appear to be heading limply out of European competition altogether. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 51.81%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Malmo had a probability of 20.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.02%) and 2-1 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.32%), while for a Malmo win it was 0-1 (8.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Union Berlin in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Union Berlin.

Result
Union Berlin	Draw	Malmo
51.81% ( 0.01)	27.22% ( 0.02)	20.96% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 41.45% (

-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.97% (

-0.09)

62.02% (

0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.24% (

-0.06)

81.75% (

0.06)

Union Berlin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.76% (

-0.03)

24.24% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.41% (

-0.05)

58.59% (

0.05)

Malmo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.71% (

-0.09)

45.29% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.83% (

-0.07)

81.17% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Union Berlin 51.8%

Malmo 20.96%

Draw 27.21%

Union Berlin	Draw	Malmo
1-0 @ 15.55% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 11.02% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.73% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.21% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.13% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.85% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.63% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.46% ( -0) Other @ 2.22% Total : 51.8%	1-1 @ 12.32% 0-0 @ 10.97% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 3.46% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.46% Total : 27.21%	0-1 @ 8.7% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.88% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.44% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 0.84% Total : 20.96%