Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 51.81%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Malmo had a probability of 20.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.02%) and 2-1 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.32%), while for a Malmo win it was 0-1 (8.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Union Berlin in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Union Berlin.
0.01) 
-0.03) 
