Union Berlin1 - 0Malmo
Form, Standings, Stats
Sunday, October 9 at 6.30pm in Bundesliga
We said: Union Berlin 2-0 Malmo
We expect Union Berlin to gain a fairly comfortable victory on Thursday, with yet another clean sheet for Fischer's side likely given their defensive organisation. Malmo have failed to impose themselves in Europe this season and appear to be heading limply out of European competition altogether. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 51.81%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Malmo had a probability of 20.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.02%) and 2-1 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.32%), while for a Malmo win it was 0-1 (8.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Union Berlin in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Union Berlin.
| Result | ||
| Union Berlin | Draw | Malmo |
51.81% ( 0.01) | 27.22% ( 0.02) | 20.96% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 41.45% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.97% ( -0.09) | 62.02% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.24% ( -0.06) | 81.75% ( 0.06) |
| Union Berlin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.76% ( -0.03) | 24.24% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.41% ( -0.05) | 58.59% ( 0.05) |
| Malmo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.71% ( -0.09) | 45.29% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 18.83% ( -0.07) | 81.17% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Union Berlin | Draw | Malmo |
| 1-0 @ 15.55% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 11.02% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 8.73% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 5.21% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.13% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.85% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.63% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.46% ( -0)Other @ 2.22% Total : 51.8% | 1-1 @ 12.32% 0-0 @ 10.97% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 3.46% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.46% Total : 27.21% | 0-1 @ 8.7% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.88% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.44% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 0.84% Total : 20.96% |
