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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 42.01%. A win for Stuttgart had a probability of 32.72% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.89%) and 0-2 (6.92%). The likeliest Stuttgart win was 1-0 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Union Berlin in this match.
Result | ||
Stuttgart | Draw | Union Berlin |
32.72% ( 0.22) | 25.27% ( -0.09) | 42.01% ( -0.13) |
Both teams to score 56.01% ( 0.37) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.43% ( 0.45) | 47.57% ( -0.45) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.22% ( 0.41) | 69.78% ( -0.41) |
Stuttgart Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.33% ( 0.36) | 27.67% ( -0.36) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.78% ( 0.46) | 63.22% ( -0.46) |
Union Berlin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.44% ( 0.13) | 22.56% ( -0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.85% ( 0.2) | 56.15% ( -0.19) |
Score Analysis |
Stuttgart | Draw | Union Berlin |
1-0 @ 8.02% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 7.67% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 5.15% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.29% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.45% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 2.21% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.06% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.88% Total : 32.72% | 1-1 @ 11.94% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 6.24% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 5.71% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.27% | 0-1 @ 9.3% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 8.89% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6.92% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 4.41% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3.44% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.84% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.64% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.28% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.24% Total : 42.01% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 12 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 37 | 8 | 29 | 30 |
2 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 31 | 16 | 15 | 26 |
3 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 23 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 21 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 20 |
6 | Freiburg | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 20 |
7 | Mainz 05Mainz | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 19 |
8 | Wolfsburg | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 18 |
9 | Stuttgart | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 23 | 21 | 2 | 17 |
10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 17 |
11 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 16 |
12 | Werder Bremen | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 16 |
13 | Augsburg | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 15 |
14 | Hoffenheim | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 12 |
15 | St Pauli | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 11 |
16 | Heidenheim | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 10 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 31 | -18 | 5 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 12 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 33 | -23 | 2 |
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