Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 9

Oct 9, 2022 at 6.30pm UK

Stuttgart
0 - 1
Union Berlin

Karazor (58'), Guirassy (78')
Guirassy (83')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Jaeckel (76')
Giesselmann (66'), Khedira (78'), Seguin (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Stuttgart and Union Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stuttgart

All competitions

Last Game: Wolfsburg 3-2 Stuttgart
Saturday, October 1 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Union Berlin

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Malmo 0-1 Union Berlin
Thursday, October 6 at 5.45pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Stuttgart 0-1 Union Berlin

We can envisage an extremely tight affair in Stuttgart, with both teams having plenty to lose ahead of kickoff. However, Union Berlin are in much better form at present and are far more capable of holding onto a lead, which we expect them to do on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 42.01%. A win for Stuttgart had a probability of 32.72% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.89%) and 0-2 (6.92%). The likeliest Stuttgart win was 1-0 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Union Berlin in this match.

Result
Stuttgart	Draw	Union Berlin
32.72% ( 0.22)	25.27% ( -0.09)	42.01% ( -0.13)

Both teams to score 56.01% (

0.37)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.43% (

0.45)

47.57% (

-0.45)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.22% (

0.41)

69.78% (

-0.41)

Stuttgart Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.33% (

0.36)

27.67% (

-0.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.78% (

0.46)

63.22% (

-0.46)

Union Berlin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.44% (

0.13)

22.56% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.85% (

0.2)

56.15% (

-0.19)

Score Analysis

Stuttgart 32.72%

Union Berlin 42.01%

Draw 25.27%

Stuttgart	Draw	Union Berlin
1-0 @ 8.02% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 7.67% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 5.15% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.29% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.45% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 2.21% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.06% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.88% Total : 32.72%	1-1 @ 11.94% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 6.24% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 5.71% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.27%	0-1 @ 9.3% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 8.89% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6.92% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 4.41% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3.44% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.84% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.64% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.28% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.24% Total : 42.01%