Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 3

Aug 20, 2022 at 2.30pm UK

Stuttgart
0 - 1
Freiburg

Sosa (15'), Fuhrich (28'), Ahamada (46'), Mavropanos (90+8')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Grifo (11')
Sallai (28'), Keitel (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Stuttgart and Freiburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stuttgart

Last Six:

Last Game: Werder Bremen 2-2 Stuttgart
Saturday, August 13 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
11	RB Leipzig	2	0	2
12	Stuttgart	2	0	2
13	Schalke 04	2	-2	1

Freiburg

Last Six:

Last Game: Freiburg 1-3 Dortmund
Friday, August 12 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
6	Mainz 05	2	1	4
7	Freiburg	2	2	3
8	Hoffenheim	2	-1	3

We said: Stuttgart 1-2 Freiburg

We expect a fascinating tactical battle in Stuttgart on Saturday, with both teams capable of counter-attacking in the blink of an eye. Freiburg are a more consistent collective unit, though, and we expect them to bounce back from their unfortunate defeat to Dortmund with a narrow victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 42.32%. A win for Stuttgart had a probability of 32.48% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.93%) and 0-2 (6.95%). The likeliest Stuttgart win was 1-0 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Freiburg in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Freiburg.

Result
Stuttgart	Draw	Freiburg
32.48% ( -0.25)	25.19% ( 0)	42.32% ( 0.24)

Both teams to score 56.19% (

-0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.7% (

-0.11)

47.3% (

0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.47% (

-0.1)

69.52% (

0.1)

Stuttgart Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.31% (

-0.21)

27.69% (

0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.75% (

-0.27)

63.24% (

0.27)

Freiburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.71% (

0.07)

22.29% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.25% (

0.11)

55.75% (

-0.11)

Score Analysis

Stuttgart 32.48%

Freiburg 42.32%

Draw 25.18%

Stuttgart	Draw	Freiburg
1-0 @ 7.93% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.64% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 5.09% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 3.27% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.45% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.18% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.05% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.88% Total : 32.48%	1-1 @ 11.89% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.17% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.73% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.18%	0-1 @ 9.26% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 8.93% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 6.95% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 4.47% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 3.48% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.87% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.68% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.31% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.08% ( 0) Other @ 2.31% Total : 42.32%