Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 10

Oct 16, 2022 at 4.30pm UK

Stadion An der Alten Försterei

Union Berlin
2 - 0
Dortmund

Haberer (8', 21')
Baumgartl (16')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Ozcan (29'), Schlotterbeck (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Union Berlin and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Union Berlin

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Union Berlin 1-0 Malmo
Thursday, October 13 at 8pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Dortmund 1-1 Sevilla
Tuesday, October 11 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Union Berlin 1-1 Borussia Dortmund

Union Berlin are an extremely tough nut to crack, especially at Stadion An der Alten Forsterei, but we believe Dortmund have the confidence and attacking ability to return from the capital with a positive result. Terzic's side should have gained serious belief from last weekend's comeback in Der Klassiker, and ultimately both teams may be content with a share of the spoils to consolidate their positions in the table. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 42.79%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 30.82% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.82%) and 0-2 (7.66%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 1-0 (8.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result
Union Berlin	Draw	Borussia Dortmund
30.82% ( -0.42)	26.39% ( 0.21)	42.79% ( 0.2)

Both teams to score 51.61% (

-0.84)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.07% (

-1)

52.93% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.47% (

-0.86)

74.53% (

0.86)

Union Berlin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.38% (

-0.81)

31.62% (

0.8)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.97% (

-0.94)

68.03% (

0.93)

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.48% (

-0.34)

24.52% (

0.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.01% (

-0.48)

58.98% (

0.48)

Score Analysis

Union Berlin 30.82%

Borussia Dortmund 42.78%

Draw 26.38%

Union Berlin	Draw	Borussia Dortmund
1-0 @ 8.93% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 7.22% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 5.14% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 2.77% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 1.97% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 1.95% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.84% Total : 30.82%	1-1 @ 12.54% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 7.75% ( 0.3) 2-2 @ 5.08% ( -0.13) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.38%	0-1 @ 10.89% ( 0.31) 1-2 @ 8.82% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 7.66% ( 0.15) 1-3 @ 4.13% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 3.59% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.08) 1-4 @ 1.45% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 1.26% Other @ 2.6% Total : 42.78%