MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 10:40:42| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 13
Nov 6, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
BayArena
Union Berlin logo

B. Leverkusen
5 - 0
Union Berlin

Andrich (46'), Diaby (56', 58'), Hlozek (68'), Bakker (76')
Amiri (19')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Khedira (24'), Siebatcheu (26'), Thorsby (41'), Leite (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Bayer Leverkusen and Union Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 0-0 Brugge
Tuesday, November 1 at 5.45pm in Champions League

Union Berlin

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Union SG 0-1 Union Berlin
Thursday, November 3 at 8pm in Europa League

We said: Bayer Leverkusen 1-1 Union Berlin

 Leverkusen could benefit from having an additional two days' rest compared to their opponents, who are surely set to lose hold of top spot sooner or later given the form of Bayern since the return from September's international break. The goals have dried up in recent weeks for Siebatcheu and Sheraldo Becker, meaning Union Berlin may have to settle for a share of the spoils on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 47.29%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 27.33% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (8.39%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 0-1 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.

Result
Bayer LeverkusenDrawUnion Berlin
47.29% (2.3 2.3) 25.38% (-0.515 -0.52) 27.33% (-1.794 -1.79)
Both teams to score 52.67% (0.388 0.39)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.43% (1.078 1.08)50.57% (-1.088 -1.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.51% (0.945 0.95)72.49% (-0.95399999999999 -0.95)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.6% (1.496 1.5)21.39% (-1.505 -1.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.61% (2.26 2.26)54.38% (-2.27 -2.27)
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.01% (-0.80300000000001 -0.8)32.99% (0.794 0.79)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.42% (-0.897 -0.9)69.57% (0.88799999999999 0.89)
Score Analysis
    Bayer Leverkusen 47.28%
    Union Berlin 27.33%
    Draw 25.38%
Bayer LeverkusenDrawUnion Berlin
1-0 @ 10.88% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.31% (0.228 0.23)
2-0 @ 8.39% (0.381 0.38)
3-1 @ 4.78% (0.322 0.32)
3-0 @ 4.31% (0.377 0.38)
3-2 @ 2.65% (0.124 0.12)
4-1 @ 1.84% (0.2 0.2)
4-0 @ 1.66% (0.213 0.21)
4-2 @ 1.02% (0.09 0.09)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 47.28%
1-1 @ 12.07% (-0.24 -0.24)
0-0 @ 7.06% (-0.314 -0.31)
2-2 @ 5.16% (0.016 0.02)
3-3 @ 0.98% (0.025 0.03)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.38%
0-1 @ 7.83% (-0.528 -0.53)
1-2 @ 6.69% (-0.287 -0.29)
0-2 @ 4.34% (-0.395 -0.4)
1-3 @ 2.47% (-0.163 -0.16)
2-3 @ 1.91% (-0.035 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.6% (-0.185 -0.19)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 27.33%

How you voted: B. Leverkusen vs Union Berlin

Bayer Leverkusen
26.3%
Draw
16.0%
Union Berlin
57.7%
156
Head to Head
Jan 8, 2022 2.30pm
B. Leverkusen
2-2
Union Berlin
Schick (38'), Tah (84')
Tah (59')
Promel (45', 50')
Trimmel (31'), Friedrich (85')
Aug 14, 2021 2.30pm
Union Berlin
1-1
B. Leverkusen
Awoniyi (7')
Diaby (12')
Diaby (28')
May 15, 2021 2.30pm
B. Leverkusen
1-1
Union Berlin
Wirtz (27')
Amiri (6'), Tapsoba (17')
Pohjanpalo (72')
Ingvartsen (40'), Andrich (55')
Jan 15, 2021 7.30pm
Union Berlin
1-0
B. Leverkusen
Teuchert (88')
Friedrich (52')

Tah (43'), Amiri (90')
Mar 4, 2020 5.30pm
B. Leverkusen
3-1
Union Berlin
Bellarabi (72'), Aranguiz (86'), Diaby (90')
Tah (44'), Aranguiz (55'), Diaby (69'), Bellarabi (70'), Alario (90')
Ingvartsen (39')
Parensen (49'), Lenz (61'), Gikiewicz (90')
Lenz (71')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202
> Bundesliga Full Table


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