Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 7

Sep 17, 2022 at 2.30pm UK

BayArena

B. Leverkusen
1 - 1
Werder Bremen

Demirbay (57')
Demirbay (24'), Tah (90+6')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Veljkovic (82')
Schmid (26'), Pieper (88'), Weiser (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Bayer Leverkusen and Werder Bremen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayer Leverkusen

Last Six:

Last Game: B. Leverkusen 2-0 Atletico
Tuesday, September 13 at 8pm in Champions League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
16	Wolfsburg	6	-5	5
17	Bayer Leverkusen	6	-3	4
18	VfL Bochum	6	-14	0

Werder Bremen

Last Six:

Last Game: Werder Bremen 0-1 Augsburg
Friday, September 9 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
8	Borussia Monchengladbach	6	2	9
9	Werder Bremen	6	1	8
10	RB Leipzig	6	0	8

We said: Bayer Leverkusen 3-1 Werder Bremen

Leverkusen have looked more confident in recent matches, and we expect their attacking firepower to prove too much for Bremen to handle. The visitors should cause problems themselves with their front two always carrying significant threat, but they have looked vulnerable defensively this season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 51.63%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 25.95% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.9%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 1-2 (6.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.

Result
Bayer Leverkusen	Draw	Werder Bremen
51.63% ( 1.13)	22.42% ( -0.15)	25.95% ( -0.98)

Both teams to score 61.41% (

-0.4)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.51% (

-0.12)

38.49% (

0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.21% (

-0.13)

60.78% (

0.13)

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.92% (

0.34)

15.08% (

-0.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.39% (

0.64)

43.61% (

-0.65)

Werder Bremen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.31% (

-0.77)

27.68% (

0.77)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.76% (

-1)

63.24% (

Score Analysis

Bayer Leverkusen 51.63%

Werder Bremen 25.95%

Draw 22.42%

Bayer Leverkusen	Draw	Werder Bremen
2-1 @ 9.59% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 7.9% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 7.47% ( 0.22) 3-1 @ 6.05% ( 0.12) 3-0 @ 4.71% ( 0.19) 3-2 @ 3.89% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.86% ( 0.09) 4-0 @ 2.23% ( 0.12) 4-2 @ 1.84% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.08% ( 0.05) Other @ 4.01% Total : 51.63%	1-1 @ 10.14% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 6.16% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 4.17% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.28% Total : 22.42%	1-2 @ 6.51% ( -0.17) 0-1 @ 5.36% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 3.44% ( -0.13) 1-3 @ 2.79% ( -0.14) 2-3 @ 2.64% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.09) Other @ 3.73% Total : 25.95%