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Bundesliga | Gameweek 18
Jan 28, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Weserstadion
Wolfsburg

Werder Bremen
2 - 1
Wolfsburg

Fullkrug (24' pen., 77')
Stark (39'), Friedl (90+2'), Weiser (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Paredes (90')
Kovac (86'), Baku (66'), Paredes (90+6'), van de Ven (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Werder Bremen and Wolfsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Werder Bremen 1-2 Union Berlin
Wednesday, January 25 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Hertha Berlin 0-5 Wolfsburg
Tuesday, January 24 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Werder Bremen 1-3 Wolfsburg

Both side possess plenty of firepower within their ranks, so it should be an entertaining encounter at Weserstadion on Saturday. However, the two teams' form could hardly be more contrasting in recent matches, and we expect Wolfsburg to have a little more bite to continue their phenomenal winning streak. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 47.11%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 29.68% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.72%) and 0-2 (6.83%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 2-1 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.

Result
Werder BremenDrawWolfsburg
29.68% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 23.21% (0.034999999999997 0.03) 47.11% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Both teams to score 61.72% (-0.124 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.57% (-0.161 -0.16)39.43% (0.163 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.23% (-0.16800000000001 -0.17)61.77% (0.171 0.17)
Werder Bremen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.4% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)25.6% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.52% (-0.11 -0.11)60.48% (0.11199999999999 0.11)
Wolfsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.95% (-0.072999999999993 -0.07)17.04% (0.074000000000002 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.8% (-0.13 -0.13)47.2% (0.132 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Werder Bremen 29.68%
    Wolfsburg 47.11%
    Draw 23.2%
Werder BremenDrawWolfsburg
2-1 @ 7.17% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-0 @ 5.95% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 4.05% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.26% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.88% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.84% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.11% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 0.98% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 29.68%
1-1 @ 10.51% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.34% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.36% (0.033 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.7% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.2%
1-2 @ 9.31% (0.0029999999999983 0)
0-1 @ 7.72% (0.04 0.04)
0-2 @ 6.83% (0.018 0.02)
1-3 @ 5.49% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-3 @ 4.03% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-3 @ 3.74% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-4 @ 2.43% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.78% (-0.004 -0)
2-4 @ 1.65% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 4.14%
Total : 47.11%

How you voted: Werder Bremen vs Wolfsburg

Werder Bremen
7.1%
Draw
10.0%
Wolfsburg
82.9%
70
Head to Head
Aug 6, 2022 2.30pm
Wolfsburg
2-2
Werder Bremen
Nmecha (11'), Guilavogui (84')
van de Ven (52'), Nmecha (90+3')
Fullkrug (21'), Bittencourt (23')
Weiser (56'), Pieper (58')
Mar 20, 2021 2.30pm
Werder Bremen
1-2
Wolfsburg
Mohwald (45')
Sargent (57'), Fullkrug (90+1'), Bittencourt (90+3')
Sargent (9' og.), Weghorst (42')
Schlager (81')
Nov 27, 2020 7.30pm
Wolfsburg
5-3
Werder Bremen
Baku (22'), Brooks (25'), Weghorst (37', 76'), Bialek (90+5')
Lacroix (73'), Arnold (81')
Bittencourt (13'), Mohwald (36'), Brooks (47' og.)
Mbom (24'), Mohwald (57')
Mohwald (80')
Jun 7, 2020 12.30pm
Dec 1, 2019 5pm
Wolfsburg
2-3
Werder Bremen
Weghorst (36'), William (73'), Rashica (83')
Arnold (91')
Rashica (13' pen.), Bittencourt (39')
Gross (60'), Osako (68'), Rashica (81'), Veljkovic (95')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202


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