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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 56.05%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 22.97% and a draw had a probability of 21%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.53%) and 1-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 1-2 (5.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.22%). The actual scoreline of 7-1 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Koln would win this match.
Result | ||
FC Koln | Draw | Werder Bremen |
56.05% ( -0.71) | 20.97% ( 0.22) | 22.97% ( 0.49) |
Both teams to score 63.17% ( -0.13) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.34% ( -0.46) | 34.65% ( 0.46) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.39% ( -0.52) | 56.6% ( 0.52) |
FC Koln Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.6% ( -0.35) | 12.39% ( 0.35) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.72% ( -0.74) | 38.27% ( 0.74) |
Werder Bremen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.11% ( 0.14) | 27.89% ( -0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.5% ( 0.17) | 63.5% ( -0.18) |
Score Analysis |
FC Koln | Draw | Werder Bremen |
2-1 @ 9.62% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.53% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 7.22% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 6.7% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 5.24% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 4.28% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 3.5% ( -0.1) 4-0 @ 2.74% ( -0.09) 4-2 @ 2.23% ( -0.05) 5-1 @ 1.46% ( -0.06) 5-0 @ 1.14% ( -0.05) 4-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.02) 5-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.52% Total : 56.05% | 1-1 @ 9.22% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 6.14% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 3.46% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.34% Total : 20.97% | 1-2 @ 5.88% ( 0.1) 0-1 @ 4.41% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 2.82% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 2.62% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.51% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.54% Total : 22.97% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 32 | 7 | 25 | 23 |
2 | RB Leipzig | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 20 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
4 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 16 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 16 |
6 | Freiburg | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 16 |
7 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 15 |
8 | Stuttgart | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 13 |
9 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 13 |
10 | Werder Bremen | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 12 |
11 | Augsburg | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 11 |
12 | Heidenheim | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 10 |
13 | Mainz 05Mainz | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 10 |
14 | Wolfsburg | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 9 |
15 | St Pauli | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 8 |
16 | Hoffenheim | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 8 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 5 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 29 | -20 | 1 |
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