MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 13:37:11| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 16
Jan 21, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
RheinEnergieStadion
Werder Bremen logo

FC Koln
7 - 1
Werder Bremen

Maina (9'), Tigges (15', 21'), Skhiri (30', 54'), Huseinbasic (36'), Friedl (76' og.)
FT(HT: 5-1)
Fullkrug (38')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between FC Koln and Werder Bremen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hertha Berlin 2-0 FC Koln
Saturday, November 12 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: FC Koln 1-2 Werder Bremen

With Koln still missing several important players through injury, we can envisage the visitors picking up an important away win this weekend. Fullkrug and Ducksch can cause any opponents issues in transition on their day, with the former likely to be full of confidence after scoring against Spain at the World Cup. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 56.05%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 22.97% and a draw had a probability of 21%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.53%) and 1-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 1-2 (5.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.22%). The actual scoreline of 7-1 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Koln would win this match.

Result
FC KolnDrawWerder Bremen
56.05% (-0.709 -0.71) 20.97% (0.218 0.22) 22.97% (0.489 0.49)
Both teams to score 63.17% (-0.133 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.34% (-0.462 -0.46)34.65% (0.46 0.46)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.39% (-0.521 -0.52)56.6% (0.51799999999999 0.52)
FC Koln Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.6% (-0.35300000000001 -0.35)12.39% (0.349 0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.72% (-0.737 -0.74)38.27% (0.736 0.74)
Werder Bremen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.11% (0.13600000000001 0.14)27.89% (-0.138 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.5% (0.174 0.17)63.5% (-0.178 -0.18)
Score Analysis
    FC Koln 56.05%
    Werder Bremen 22.97%
    Draw 20.97%
FC KolnDrawWerder Bremen
2-1 @ 9.62% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 7.53% (-0.027 -0.03)
1-0 @ 7.22% (0.072 0.07)
3-1 @ 6.7% (-0.09 -0.09)
3-0 @ 5.24% (-0.091 -0.09)
3-2 @ 4.28% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-1 @ 3.5% (-0.096 -0.1)
4-0 @ 2.74% (-0.086 -0.09)
4-2 @ 2.23% (-0.052 -0.05)
5-1 @ 1.46% (-0.06 -0.06)
5-0 @ 1.14% (-0.052 -0.05)
4-3 @ 0.95% (-0.018 -0.02)
5-2 @ 0.93% (-0.035 -0.03)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 56.05%
1-1 @ 9.22% (0.127 0.13)
2-2 @ 6.14% (0.026 0.03)
0-0 @ 3.46% (0.081 0.08)
3-3 @ 1.82% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 20.97%
1-2 @ 5.88% (0.104 0.1)
0-1 @ 4.41% (0.12 0.12)
0-2 @ 2.82% (0.087 0.09)
2-3 @ 2.62% (0.021 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.51% (0.054 0.05)
0-3 @ 1.2% (0.042 0.04)
Other @ 3.54%
Total : 22.97%

How you voted: FC Koln vs Werder Bremen

FC Koln
34.4%
Draw
25.0%
Werder Bremen
40.6%
32
Head to Head
Mar 7, 2021 2.30pm
Nov 6, 2020 7.30pm
Werder Bremen
1-1
FC Koln
Bittencourt (82' pen.)
Mbom (31'), Osako (67')
Moisander (67' og.)
Wolf (23'), Czichos (65')
Jun 27, 2020 2.30pm
Dec 21, 2019 2.30pm
Mar 12, 2018 7.30pm
Werder Bremen
3-1
FC Koln
Veljkovic (33'), Rashica (58'), Eggestein (90')
Osako (53')
Sorensen (44'), Heintz (60'), Ozcan (79')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202


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