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Bundesliga | Gameweek 10
Oct 16, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
RheinEnergieStadion
Augsburg logo

FC Koln
3 - 2
Augsburg

Tigges (47', 81'), Huseinbasic (61')
Duda (62'), Uth (90')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Niederlechner (14'), Caligiuri (68')
Berisha (22'), Vargas (36'), Iago (54'), Petkov (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between FC Koln and Augsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Partizan 2-0 FC Koln
Thursday, October 13 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Augsburg 1-1 Wolfsburg
Saturday, October 8 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: FC Koln 2-1 Augsburg

Attack may be the best form of defence for the visitors given the amount of injuries and suspensions they have at centre-back, but Koln are likely to look the more balanced unit as a result thia weekend. As such, we expect them to return to winning ways after a difficult week, with Augsburg arguably due to suffer a defeat at some point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 63%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Augsburg had a probability of 16.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.75%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.83%), while for an Augsburg win it was 0-1 (4.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Koln would win this match.

Result
FC KolnDrawAugsburg
63% (0.784 0.78) 20.74% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 16.26% (-0.789 -0.79)
Both teams to score 51.94% (-1.724 -1.72)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.13% (-1.436 -1.44)43.87% (1.433 1.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.74% (-1.418 -1.42)66.26% (1.415 1.42)
FC Koln Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.7% (-0.22 -0.22)13.3% (0.216 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.87% (-0.443 -0.44)40.13% (0.439 0.44)
Augsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.91% (-1.834 -1.83)40.09% (1.83 1.83)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.27% (-1.718 -1.72)76.73% (1.714 1.71)
Score Analysis
    FC Koln 63%
    Augsburg 16.26%
    Draw 20.74%
FC KolnDrawAugsburg
2-0 @ 10.85% (0.5 0.5)
1-0 @ 10.75% (0.58 0.58)
2-1 @ 9.92% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-0 @ 7.3% (0.277 0.28)
3-1 @ 6.67% (-0.074 -0.07)
4-0 @ 3.68% (0.111 0.11)
4-1 @ 3.36% (-0.065 -0.07)
3-2 @ 3.05% (-0.192 -0.19)
4-2 @ 1.54% (-0.109 -0.11)
5-0 @ 1.49% (0.033 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.36% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 63%
1-1 @ 9.83% (0.051 0.05)
0-0 @ 5.33% (0.326 0.33)
2-2 @ 4.53% (-0.246 -0.25)
3-3 @ 0.93% (-0.109 -0.11)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 20.74%
0-1 @ 4.87% (0.064 0.06)
1-2 @ 4.49% (-0.205 -0.21)
0-2 @ 2.23% (-0.083 -0.08)
2-3 @ 1.38% (-0.15 -0.15)
1-3 @ 1.37% (-0.136 -0.14)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 16.26%

How you voted: FC Koln vs Augsburg

FC Koln
55.2%
Draw
20.7%
Augsburg
24.1%
29
Head to Head
Apr 30, 2022 2.30pm
Augsburg
1-4
FC Koln
Niederlechner (73')
Gruezo (42'), Oxford (69')
Thielmann (12'), Uth (15'), Modeste (63' pen., 77')
Thielmann (53'), Kainz (60'), Hubers (75'), Kilian (80')
Dec 10, 2021 7.30pm
FC Koln
0-2
Augsburg

Kilian (57'), Baumgart (79'), Ozcan (87')
Hahn (72'), Dorsch (88')
Gregoritsch (25'), Dorsch (41'), Gouweleeuw (57'), Cordova (86')
Apr 23, 2021 7.30pm
Augsburg
2-3
FC Koln
Gumny (54'), Vargas (62')
Gumny (45+2'), Gruezo (52')
Duda (8', 33'), Kainz (23')
Wolf (45'), Rexhbecaj (80'), Duda (90')
Jan 2, 2021 2.30pm
FC Koln
0-1
Augsburg

Modeste (64'), Bornauw (74')
Iago (77')
Uduokhai (12'), Gouweleeuw (64'), Richter (85')
Jun 7, 2020 5pm
Augsburg
1-1
FC Koln
Max (88')
Framberger (51')
Modeste (85')
Schmitz (15'), Uth (25'), Hector (90')
rhs 2.0
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Group Stage
Spain
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Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Germany Germany11003
2 Hungary Hungary00000
3 Switzerland Switzerland00000
4 Scotland flag Scotland10010

Group B

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1 Albania national flag Albania00000
2 Croatia Croatia00000
3 Italy Italy00000
4 Spain Spain00000

Group C

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1 Denmark Denmark00000
2 England flag England00000
3 Serbia Serbia00000
4 Slovenia Slovenia00000

Group D

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1 Austria Austria00000
2 France France00000
3 Netherlands Netherlands00000
4 Poland Poland00000

Group E

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1 Belgium Belgium00000
2 Romania Romania00000
3 Slovakia Slovakia00000
4 Ukraine Ukraine00000

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Czech Republic Czech Republic00000
2 Georgia Georgia00000
3 Portugal Portugal00000
4 Turkey Turkey00000


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