MX23RW : Friday, September 27 22:08:19| >> :600:851442:851442:
Koln logo
Europa Conference League | Group Stage
Nov 3, 2022 at 8pm UK
RheinEnergieStadion
Nice

FC Koln
2 - 2
Nice

Huseinbasic (48'), Duda (60')
Hubers (55'), Maina (69')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Laborde (40'), Brahimi (43')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between FC Koln and Nice, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: FC Koln 1-2 Nice

We think that the quick turnaround between games could catch up with Koln, whose amount of injuries significantly reduces Baumgart's ability to rotate his players' tired legs. Nice have gradually improved in recent weeks and clearly have more power in midfield, which could prove crucial to helping them advance to the knockout stages at their opponents' expense. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 42.71%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 32.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.96%) and 0-2 (7.09%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 1-0 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
FC KolnDrawNice
32.02% (0.071000000000002 0.07) 25.27% (-0.087 -0.09) 42.71% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Both teams to score 55.76% (0.326 0.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.21% (0.411 0.41)47.79% (-0.404 -0.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.02% (0.378 0.38)69.98% (-0.37100000000001 -0.37)
FC Koln Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.78% (0.24900000000001 0.25)28.23% (-0.242 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.07% (0.312 0.31)63.93% (-0.306 -0.31)
Nice Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.68% (0.191 0.19)22.32% (-0.184 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.21% (0.279 0.28)55.79% (-0.272 -0.27)
Score Analysis
    FC Koln 32.02%
    Nice 42.71%
    Draw 25.27%
FC KolnDrawNice
1-0 @ 7.97% (-0.079999999999999 -0.08)
2-1 @ 7.56% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
2-0 @ 5.04% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.19% (0.029 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.39% (0.035 0.04)
3-0 @ 2.13% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.01% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 32.02%
1-1 @ 11.95% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 6.3% (-0.107 -0.11)
2-2 @ 5.67% (0.044 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.2% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.27%
0-1 @ 9.45% (-0.106 -0.11)
1-2 @ 8.96% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-2 @ 7.09% (-0.041 -0.04)
1-3 @ 4.48% (0.029000000000001 0.03)
0-3 @ 3.54% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 2.83% (0.037 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.68% (0.02 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.33% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.06% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 42.71%

How you voted: FC Koln vs Nice

FC Koln
37.5%
Draw
14.6%
Nice
47.9%
96
Head to Head
Sep 8, 2022 6.40pm
Group D
Nice
1-1
FC Koln
Delort (62' pen.)
Boudaoui (39')
Tigges (19')
rhs 2.0
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