Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 56.9%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 19.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.49%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.11%), while for a Nantes win it was 0-1 (6.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Nice | Draw | Nantes |
56.9% ( -0.06) | 23.36% ( 0) | 19.73% ( 0.05) |
Both teams to score 50.18% ( 0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.43% ( 0.06) | 49.57% ( -0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.41% ( 0.05) | 71.59% ( -0.05) |
Nice Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.8% ( -0) | 17.2% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.52% ( -0) | 47.48% ( 0) |
Nantes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.6% ( 0.09) | 39.4% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.9% ( 0.09) | 76.09% ( -0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Nice | Draw | Nantes |
1-0 @ 11.92% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 10.49% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.78% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.16% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.74% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.71% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.67% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.53% 4-2 @ 1.18% ( 0) 5-0 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 2.76% Total : 56.89% | 1-1 @ 11.11% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.78% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.55% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.92% Total : 23.36% | 0-1 @ 6.31% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.18% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.94% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.61% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.37% Total : 19.73% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 15 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 40 | 12 | 28 | 37 |
2 | Marseille | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 30 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 30 |
4 | Lille | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 27 |
5 | Lyon | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Nice | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 24 |
7 | Lens | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Auxerre | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 21 |
9 | Toulouse | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 21 |
10 | Reims | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
11 | Brest | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Rennes | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 17 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 17 |
14 | NantesNantes | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Angers | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 13 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 13 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 38 | -23 | 9 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |