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Ligue 1
Lorient logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 7
Sep 11, 2022 at 2pm UK
Stade du Moustoir
Nantes

Lorient
3 - 2
Nantes

Ouattara (19'), Cathline (60'), Kone (74')
Laporte (76'), Kone (78')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Ganago (13'), Simon (85')
Simon (40'), Chirivella (45'), Appiah (56')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lorient and Nantes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lorient

Last Six:
Last Game: Lorient 3-1 Lyon
Wednesday, September 7 at 6pm in Ligue 1

Nantes

Last Six:
Last Game: Nantes 2-1 Olympiacos
Thursday, September 8 at 8pm in Europa League

We said: Lorient 2-1 Nantes

 As much as Lorient were helped by some individual Lyon errors in midweek, take nothing away from Les Merlus' stunning start to the campaign, and a third-straight win at the Stade du Moustoir is on the cards. Nantes battled well on Thursday night but are working with less rest time than their in-form counterparts, and their away-day struggles are set to continue versus the rejuvenated Merlus, who are determined to avoid a 12th game without a win in this fixture. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lorient win with a probability of 40.38%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 32.23% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lorient win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Nantes win was 0-1 (9.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lorient would win this match.

Result
LorientDrawNantes
40.38% (0.811 0.81) 27.38% (0.175 0.18) 32.23% (-0.988 -0.99)
Both teams to score 49.11% (-0.785 -0.78)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.63% (-0.873 -0.87)56.37% (0.872 0.87)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.61% (-0.712 -0.71)77.39% (0.711 0.71)
Lorient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.64% (0.037999999999997 0.04)27.36% (-0.040000000000003 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.17% (0.048999999999999 0.05)62.82% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Nantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.6% (-1.118 -1.12)32.39% (1.116 1.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.09% (-1.278 -1.28)68.91% (1.277 1.28)
Score Analysis
    Lorient 40.37%
    Nantes 32.23%
    Draw 27.38%
LorientDrawNantes
1-0 @ 11.48% (0.39 0.39)
2-1 @ 8.39% (0.044 0.04)
2-0 @ 7.44% (0.262 0.26)
3-1 @ 3.63% (0.023 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.22% (0.117 0.12)
3-2 @ 2.04% (-0.05 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.17% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.04% (0.039 0.04)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 40.37%
1-1 @ 12.94% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 8.86% (0.293 0.29)
2-2 @ 4.73% (-0.122 -0.12)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 27.38%
0-1 @ 9.99% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 7.3% (-0.196 -0.2)
0-2 @ 5.63% (-0.158 -0.16)
1-3 @ 2.74% (-0.161 -0.16)
0-3 @ 2.12% (-0.127 -0.13)
2-3 @ 1.78% (-0.102 -0.1)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 32.23%

How you voted: Lorient vs Nantes

Lorient
73.2%
Draw
9.8%
Nantes
17.1%
41
Head to Head
Jan 23, 2022 2pm
Nantes
4-2
Lorient
Girotto (39'), Kolo (53'), Bukari (69'), Geubbels (86')
Moutoussamy (45+1'), Da Silva (77'), Appiah (83')
Moffi (56'), Soumano (85')
Dec 5, 2021 2pm
Lorient
0-1
Nantes

Ouattara (26')
Cyprien (83')
Coulibaly (18'), Moutoussamy (48'), Girotto (90+1')
Mar 21, 2021 2pm
Nantes
1-1
Lorient
Kolo (2')
Lauriente (87')
Lauriente (24')
Nov 8, 2020 2pm
Lorient
0-2
Nantes

Abergel (18'), Lauriente (19'), Morel (82')
Bamba (80'), Blas (83')
Louza (32')
Apr 29, 2017 7pm
Nantes
1-0
Lorient
Sala (89')

Lautoa (40'), Moreira (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG15114040122837
2Marseille1593332181430
3MonacoMonaco1593324121230
4Lille1576225151027
5Lyon157442720725
6Nice156632819924
7Lens156631914524
8Auxerre156362323021
9Toulouse156361717021
10Reims155552018220
11Brest156182427-319
12Rennes155282020017
13StrasbourgStrasbourg154562527-217
14NantesNantes153571724-714
15Angers153481426-1213
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1541101234-2213
17Le HavreLe Havre1540111129-1812
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1523101538-239
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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