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Ligue 1
Marseille
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 3
Aug 20, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stade Velodrome
Nantes

Marseille
2 - 1
Nantes

Mbemba (70'), Pallois (82' og.)
Rongier (55'), Gigot (60'), Lopez (76'), Veretout (90+3')
Gigot (76')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Blas (78' pen.)
Guessand (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Marseille and Nantes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Marseille

Last Six:
Last Game: Brest 1-1 Marseille
Sunday, August 14 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Nantes

Last Six:
Last Game: Nantes 1-1 Lille
Friday, August 12 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Marseille 1-0 Nantes

 Nantes are likely to be tricky opposition for Marseille, and the home side might need to be patient when it comes to grinding out a result here. We are not expecting a high-scoring contest on Saturday but believe that last season's runners-up will be able to claim all three points in front of their own supporters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 60.58%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 17.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.62%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.3%), while for a Nantes win it was 0-1 (5.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.

Result
MarseilleDrawNantes
60.58% (0.613 0.61) 21.71% (-0.204 -0.2) 17.72% (-0.403 -0.4)
Both teams to score 51.82% (-0.105 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.44% (0.247 0.25)45.56% (-0.242 -0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.11% (0.235 0.23)67.89% (-0.229 -0.23)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.42% (0.27900000000001 0.28)14.58% (-0.275 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.34% (0.531 0.53)42.66% (-0.52500000000001 -0.53)
Nantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.67% (-0.32 -0.32)39.33% (0.325 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.97% (-0.3 -0.3)76.03% (0.306 0.31)
Score Analysis
    Marseille 60.57%
    Nantes 17.72%
    Draw 21.7%
MarseilleDrawNantes
1-0 @ 11.04%
2-0 @ 10.62% (0.09 0.09)
2-1 @ 9.92% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 6.82% (0.127 0.13)
3-1 @ 6.37% (0.063 0.06)
4-0 @ 3.28% (0.092 0.09)
4-1 @ 3.06% (0.06 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.97% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.43% (0.016 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.26% (0.047 0.05)
5-1 @ 1.18% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 60.57%
1-1 @ 10.3% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-0 @ 5.74% (-0.059 -0.06)
2-2 @ 4.63% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-3 @ 0.92% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 21.7%
0-1 @ 5.35% (-0.103 -0.1)
1-2 @ 4.81% (-0.089 -0.09)
0-2 @ 2.5% (-0.071 -0.07)
1-3 @ 1.5% (-0.041 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.44% (-0.025 -0.03)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 17.72%

How you voted: Marseille vs Nantes

Marseille
87.7%
Draw
8.2%
Nantes
4.1%
73
Head to Head
Apr 20, 2022 8pm
Marseille
3-2
Nantes
Payet (39' pen., 55' pen.), Harit (75')
Peres (35'), Milik (87')
Girotto (26'), Coco (41')
Blas (32'), Coco (45'), Da Silva (81'), Appiah (90+1')
Coco (90+3')
Dec 1, 2021 8pm
Nantes
0-1
Marseille

Pallois (14'), Lafont (78')
Pallois (32')
Gerson (30')
Gerson (71'), Gonzalez (78')
Feb 20, 2021 4pm
Nantes
1-1
Marseille
Blas (50')
Traore (32'), Castelletto (43'), Chirivella (74'), Bamba (88')
Payet (69')
Gonzalez (88')
Sakai (90+3')
Nov 28, 2020 4pm
Marseille
3-1
Nantes
Thauvin (2'), Payet (35'), Benedetto (60' pen.)
Payet (47'), Rongier (54'), Gonzalez (71'), Strootman (90+3')
Blas (73')
Castelletto (57'), Blas (83')
Feb 22, 2020 4.30pm
Marseille
1-3
Nantes
Sanson (39')
Amavi (44')
Limbombe (34'), Bamba (53'), Gonzalez (90' og.)
Simon (45'), Traore (61'), Girotto (64')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG65102051516
2Marseille5410156913
3MonacoMonaco5410102813
4Lens52305239
5NantesNantes52217438
6Reims52217708
7Nice521214687
8Rennes621310917
9Lille52128717
10StrasbourgStrasbourg5131111016
11Le HavreLe Havre5203710-36
12Auxerre6204812-46
13Brest6204813-56
14Toulouse512246-25
15Lyon5113611-54
16Montpellier HSCMontpellier5113515-104
17Saint-EtienneSt Etienne5104115-143
18Angers502339-62
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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