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Ligue 1
Marseille
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 3
Aug 20, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stade Velodrome
Nantes

Marseille
2 - 1
Nantes

Mbemba (70'), Pallois (82' og.)
Rongier (55'), Gigot (60'), Lopez (76'), Veretout (90+3')
Gigot (76')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Blas (78' pen.)
Guessand (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Marseille and Nantes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Marseille

Last Six:
Last Game: Brest 1-1 Marseille
Sunday, August 14 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Nantes

Last Six:
Last Game: Nantes 1-1 Lille
Friday, August 12 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Marseille 1-0 Nantes

 Nantes are likely to be tricky opposition for Marseille, and the home side might need to be patient when it comes to grinding out a result here. We are not expecting a high-scoring contest on Saturday but believe that last season's runners-up will be able to claim all three points in front of their own supporters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 60.58%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 17.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.62%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.3%), while for a Nantes win it was 0-1 (5.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.

Result
MarseilleDrawNantes
60.58% (0.613 0.61) 21.71% (-0.204 -0.2) 17.72% (-0.403 -0.4)
Both teams to score 51.82% (-0.105 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.44% (0.247 0.25)45.56% (-0.242 -0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.11% (0.235 0.23)67.89% (-0.229 -0.23)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.42% (0.27900000000001 0.28)14.58% (-0.275 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.34% (0.531 0.53)42.66% (-0.52500000000001 -0.53)
Nantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.67% (-0.32 -0.32)39.33% (0.325 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.97% (-0.3 -0.3)76.03% (0.306 0.31)
Score Analysis
    Marseille 60.57%
    Nantes 17.72%
    Draw 21.7%
MarseilleDrawNantes
1-0 @ 11.04%
2-0 @ 10.62% (0.09 0.09)
2-1 @ 9.92% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 6.82% (0.127 0.13)
3-1 @ 6.37% (0.063 0.06)
4-0 @ 3.28% (0.092 0.09)
4-1 @ 3.06% (0.06 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.97% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.43% (0.016 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.26% (0.047 0.05)
5-1 @ 1.18% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 60.57%
1-1 @ 10.3% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-0 @ 5.74% (-0.059 -0.06)
2-2 @ 4.63% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-3 @ 0.92% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 21.7%
0-1 @ 5.35% (-0.103 -0.1)
1-2 @ 4.81% (-0.089 -0.09)
0-2 @ 2.5% (-0.071 -0.07)
1-3 @ 1.5% (-0.041 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.44% (-0.025 -0.03)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 17.72%

How you voted: Marseille vs Nantes

Marseille
87.7%
Draw
8.2%
Nantes
4.1%
73
Head to Head
Apr 20, 2022 8pm
Marseille
3-2
Nantes
Payet (39' pen., 55' pen.), Harit (75')
Peres (35'), Milik (87')
Girotto (26'), Coco (41')
Blas (32'), Coco (45'), Da Silva (81'), Appiah (90+1')
Coco (90+3')
Dec 1, 2021 8pm
Nantes
0-1
Marseille

Pallois (14'), Lafont (78')
Pallois (32')
Gerson (30')
Gerson (71'), Gonzalez (78')
Feb 20, 2021 4pm
Nantes
1-1
Marseille
Blas (50')
Traore (32'), Castelletto (43'), Chirivella (74'), Bamba (88')
Payet (69')
Gonzalez (88')
Sakai (90+3')
Nov 28, 2020 4pm
Marseille
3-1
Nantes
Thauvin (2'), Payet (35'), Benedetto (60' pen.)
Payet (47'), Rongier (54'), Gonzalez (71'), Strootman (90+3')
Blas (73')
Castelletto (57'), Blas (83')
Feb 22, 2020 4.30pm
Marseille
1-3
Nantes
Sanson (39')
Amavi (44')
Limbombe (34'), Bamba (53'), Gonzalez (90' og.)
Simon (45'), Traore (61'), Girotto (64')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG1192033102329
2MonacoMonaco117221881023
3Marseille116232415920
4Lille115421811719
5Lyon115331815318
6Nice1145221111017
7Reims115241915417
8Lens11452129317
9Auxerre115152019116
10Toulouse114341311215
11StrasbourgStrasbourg113442022-213
12Brest114161419-513
13Rennes113261318-511
14NantesNantes112451417-310
15Angers112451320-710
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne113171025-1510
17Le HavreLe Havre11308823-159
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier112181131-207
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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