Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 37

May 14, 2022 at 8pm UK

Stade de Gerland

Lyon
3 - 2
Nantes

Dembele (9'), Paqueta (78'), Tete (85')
Ndombele (61')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Merlin (81'), Cyprien (90+2')
Kombouare (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Lyon and Nantes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lyon

Last Six:

Last Game: Clermont 1-2 Lyon
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
7	Lens	38	14	62
8	Lyon	38	15	61
9	Nantes	38	7	55

Nantes

Last Six:

Last Game: Nantes 1-1 St Etienne
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Next Game: PSG vs. Nantes
Saturday, July 30 at 11pm in Trophee des Champions

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
8	Lyon	38	15	61
9	Nantes	38	7	55
10	Lille	38	0	55

Goals are always on the menu when these two sides take to the field in Ligue 1, with Lyon always suspect defensively but boasting plenty of attacking talent ready to make up for the rearguard's mistakes. While Nantes' busy week and undesirable away form will significantly impact their chances of victory, Kombouare's motivated side should have no problem adding a couple of strikes to their goals column and coming away with a hard-earned point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 65.48%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 15.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.86%) and 1-0 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.96%), while for a Nantes win it was 1-2 (4.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.

Result
Lyon	Draw	Nantes
65.48% ( 0.03)	19.21% ( -0.01)	15.3% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 55% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.26% (

0.03)

38.74% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.95% (

0.03)

61.05% (

-0.03)

Lyon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.93% (

0.02)

11.07% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.56% (

0.03)

35.44% (

-0.03)

Nantes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.85%

38.15% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.08% (

-0)

74.92% (

Score Analysis

Lyon 65.48%

Nantes 15.3%

Draw 19.21%

Lyon	Draw	Nantes
2-0 @ 10.23% 2-1 @ 9.86% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.3% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 7.5% ( 0) 3-1 @ 7.23% ( 0) 4-0 @ 4.13% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.98% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.48% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.92% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.82% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.75% ( 0) Other @ 4.29% Total : 65.48%	1-1 @ 8.96% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.75% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.23% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 0.16% Total : 19.21%	1-2 @ 4.32% ( -0) 0-1 @ 4.07% ( -0) 0-2 @ 1.96% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.53% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.39% ( -0) Other @ 2.05% Total : 15.3%