Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 35

Apr 30, 2022 at 4pm UK

Stade Felix Bollaert

Lens
2 - 2
Nantes

Costa (67'), Kalimuendo (81' pen.)
Leca (19')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Simon (8', 32')
Pereira de Sa (53'), Cyprien (62'), Moutoussamy (74'), Pallois (80'), Lafont (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Lens and Nantes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lens

Last Six:

Last Game: Lens 2-2 Monaco
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
6	Strasbourg	38	17	63
7	Lens	38	14	62
8	Lyon	38	15	61

Nantes

Last Six:

Last Game: Nantes 1-1 St Etienne
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Next Game: PSG vs. Nantes
Saturday, July 30 at 11pm in Trophee des Champions

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
8	Lyon	38	15	61
9	Nantes	38	7	55
10	Lille	38	0	55

Both sides are in similar form, with Lens showing to be slightly stronger in recent weeks, which is why they should be able to edge their visitors to three points this weekend, especially being on home soil. Lens will take confidence from their four-game unbeaten run, while Nantes were lifted by their 5-3 win last time out, which suggests that both teams are likely to get on the scoresheet. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 56.03%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 20.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.34%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.24%), while for a Nantes win it was 0-1 (6.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.

Result
Lens	Draw	Nantes
56.03%	23.64%	20.33%

Both teams to score 50.27%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.08%

49.93%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.09%

71.91%

Lens Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.36%

17.65%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.74%

48.26%

Nantes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.04%

38.96%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.31%

75.69%

Score Analysis

Lens 56.02%

Nantes 20.33%

Draw 23.64%

Lens	Draw	Nantes
1-0 @ 11.92% 2-0 @ 10.34% 2-1 @ 9.75% 3-0 @ 5.98% 3-1 @ 5.64% 3-2 @ 2.66% 4-0 @ 2.59% 4-1 @ 2.45% 4-2 @ 1.15% Other @ 3.54% Total : 56.02%	1-1 @ 11.24% 0-0 @ 6.88% 2-2 @ 4.6% Other @ 0.93% Total : 23.64%	0-1 @ 6.48% 1-2 @ 5.3% 0-2 @ 3.05% 1-3 @ 1.66% 2-3 @ 1.44% 0-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.43% Total : 20.33%