Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 37.8%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 35.21% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.19%) and 0-2 (6.7%). The likeliest Nantes win was 1-0 (10.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Nantes | Draw | Lens |
35.21% | 26.99% | 37.8% |
Both teams to score 50.88% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.61% | 54.39% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.23% | 75.76% |
Nantes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.55% | 29.44% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.55% | 65.44% |
Lens Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.11% | 27.89% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.5% | 63.5% |
Score Analysis |
Nantes | Draw | Lens |
1-0 @ 10.03% 2-1 @ 7.84% 2-0 @ 6.14% 3-1 @ 3.19% 3-0 @ 2.5% 3-2 @ 2.04% 4-1 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.48% Total : 35.2% | 1-1 @ 12.82% 0-0 @ 8.21% 2-2 @ 5.01% Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.99% | 0-1 @ 10.48% 1-2 @ 8.19% 0-2 @ 6.7% 1-3 @ 3.49% 0-3 @ 2.85% 2-3 @ 2.13% 1-4 @ 1.11% 0-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.94% Total : 37.79% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 5 | 15 | 16 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 16 |
3 | Marseille | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 13 |
4 | Lille | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 10 |
5 | Lens | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 10 |
6 | Nice | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 8 |
7 | NantesNantes | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 8 |
8 | Reims | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 8 |
9 | Rennes | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 7 |
10 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 6 |
11 | Auxerre | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 6 |
12 | Brest | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 6 |
13 | Le HavreLe Havre | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 6 |
14 | Toulouse | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 5 |
15 | Lyon | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 4 |
16 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 17 | -11 | 4 |
17 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 15 | -14 | 3 |
18 | Angers | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 2 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |