Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 47.81%. A win for Brest had a probability of 26.29% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 2-0 (8.86%). The likeliest Brest win was 0-1 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.
Result | ||
Lens | Draw | Brest |
47.81% | 25.9% | 26.29% |
Both teams to score 50.28% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.7% | 53.3% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.15% | 74.85% |
Lens Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.7% | 22.3% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.24% | 55.76% |
Brest Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.71% | 35.29% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.95% | 72.05% |
Score Analysis |
Lens | Draw | Brest |
1-0 @ 11.8% 2-1 @ 9.23% 2-0 @ 8.86% 3-1 @ 4.62% 3-0 @ 4.43% 3-2 @ 2.4% 4-1 @ 1.73% 4-0 @ 1.66% 4-2 @ 0.9% Other @ 2.17% Total : 47.81% | 1-1 @ 12.3% 0-0 @ 7.87% 2-2 @ 4.81% Other @ 0.92% Total : 25.9% | 0-1 @ 8.2% 1-2 @ 6.41% 0-2 @ 4.27% 1-3 @ 2.22% 2-3 @ 1.67% 0-3 @ 1.48% Other @ 2.04% Total : 26.29% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 5 | 15 | 16 |
2 | Marseille | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 13 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 13 |
4 | Lens | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 9 |
5 | NantesNantes | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 8 |
6 | Reims | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 8 |
7 | Nice | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 7 |
8 | Rennes | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 7 |
9 | Lille | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 7 |
10 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 6 |
11 | Le HavreLe Havre | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 6 |
12 | Auxerre | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 6 |
13 | Brest | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 6 |
14 | Toulouse | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 5 |
15 | Lyon | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 4 |
16 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 15 | -10 | 4 |
17 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 15 | -14 | 3 |
18 | Angers | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 2 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |