Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 40.61%. A win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 32.7% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Saint-Etienne win was 0-1 (9.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brest would win this match.
Result | ||
Brest | Draw | Saint-Etienne |
40.61% | 26.69% | 32.7% |
Both teams to score 51.36% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.44% | 53.57% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.93% | 75.07% |
Brest Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.06% | 25.94% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.06% | 60.94% |
Saint-Etienne Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.35% | 30.65% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.1% | 66.9% |
Score Analysis |
Brest | Draw | Saint-Etienne |
1-0 @ 10.72% 2-1 @ 8.56% 2-0 @ 7.24% 3-1 @ 3.85% 3-0 @ 3.26% 3-2 @ 2.28% 4-1 @ 1.3% 4-0 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.3% Total : 40.6% | 1-1 @ 12.68% 0-0 @ 7.95% 2-2 @ 5.06% Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.68% | 0-1 @ 9.4% 1-2 @ 7.5% 0-2 @ 5.56% 1-3 @ 2.96% 0-3 @ 2.19% 2-3 @ 2% Other @ 3.1% Total : 32.7% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 12 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 36 | 10 | 26 | 32 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 26 |
3 | Marseille | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 23 |
4 | Lille | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 19 |
5 | Lyon | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 19 |
6 | Reims | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 18 |
7 | Nice | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 17 |
8 | Lens | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 17 |
9 | Auxerre | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 16 |
10 | Toulouse | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 15 |
11 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 13 |
12 | Brest | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 13 |
13 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 25 | -14 | 13 |
14 | Rennes | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 11 |
15 | NantesNantes | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 10 |
16 | Angers | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 10 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 9 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 11 | 32 | -21 | 7 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |